Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x089f21519d4559f82a84edfa10de4b5374eaad53f90180c7c259950335b6435f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,307
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,685
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,307 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 67c | 1,857$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.03 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72a6…cfefbacked Over | 48c | 850$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4e…c662backed Under | 65c | 399.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.8 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.9wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 21c | 279$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 1,662 | 36.2%602 W · 1,060 L | -34.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe337…4ad6backed Under | 59c | 253.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.42 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +151%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 38.7%70 W · 111 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 31cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Over | 43c | 105.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.32 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…df21backed Under | 51c | 96.59$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Over | 37c | 81.07$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -28%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 69c | 69.99$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5087…2d85backed Over | 19c | 51.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Under | 73c | 44.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad31…c93abacked Under | 57c | 34.88$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.16per pick | 39cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x80fd…11f5backed Over | 36c | 29.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa0…e78abacked Under | 67c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed Under | 67c | 22.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 75c | 22.77$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1,357 | 45.5%617 W · 740 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e82…dfe5backed Under | 69c | 21.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Under | 63c | 16.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.