Asian League · resolved market
Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x227a085f07bb17c3607be9a39781da7399463eacf1e0603cbd60164950a252a3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,392
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,392 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 27c | 2,556$683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x800a…0b4dbacked Over | 55c | 1,837$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.83 | 93 | 44.1%41 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 46c | 892$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.32 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…22d8backed Under | 15c | 636.66$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe78…edacbacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 65c | 299.98$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.54 | 158 | 26.6%42 W · 116 L | -13.5wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…c343backed Under | 47c | 244.79$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…cc26backed Over | 58c | 172.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f2…1761backed Over | 52c | 130$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 74c | 107.55$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…3934backed Over | 54c | 85$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.1 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +15.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…9b31backed Over | 52c | 65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…5120backed Under | 48c | 65$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 78c | 50.3$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 375 | 62.7%235 W · 140 L | +61.4wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x20bf…2be9backed Over | 55c | 47.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 46c | 44.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 46c | 40.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.85 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.63 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 46c | 29.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 1,117 | 46.2%516 W · 601 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec8…c5d4backed Under | 47c | 27.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 39cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…48c6backed Over | 54c | 20.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 78c | 15.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.48 | 395 | 61.8%244 W · 151 L | +56.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Henan FC vs. Shanghai Haigang FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Henan FC (-1.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Henan FC (-2.5)Shanghai Haigang FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-1.5)Henan FC won
- Spread: Shanghai Haigang FC (-2.5)Henan FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.