CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x58c646e09490be97052206db4be0b1e7a502646452ca9fb2c9686be969147962
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- NIPof GamerLegion, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,090
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,090 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 61c | 2,741$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,056.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 59c | 2,600$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.85 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked GamerLegion | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.99 | 245 | 38.4%94 W · 151 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed GamerLegion | 40c | 2,022$808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.17 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 70c | 1,916$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.72 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked NIP | 57c | 1,915$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.6 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed GamerLegion | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked GamerLegion | 32c | 1,448$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.6 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed GamerLegion | 28c | 1,123$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.43 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked GamerLegion | 11c | 1,026$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.08 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9348…8cfbbacked GamerLegion | 12c | 881.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.94 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked NIP | 63c | 793.91$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.12 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed GamerLegion | 20c | 761.6$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.32 | 112 | 40.2%45 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed NIP | 75c | 652.22$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.37 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda32…04a1backed NIP | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 314 | 44.9%141 W · 173 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed GamerLegion | 50c | 595.58$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.79 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 75c | 553.93$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.85 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked GamerLegion | 11c | 513.82$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked GamerLegion | 50c | 484.97$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.93 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked GamerLegion | 33c | 475.66$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe207…56c7backed GamerLegion | 44c | 411.23$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.94 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked GamerLegion | 15c | 382.31$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked GamerLegion | 31c | 364.46$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.38 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc74…2e57backed GamerLegion | 26c | 254.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed NIP | 76c | 245.16$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17b8…5049backed GamerLegion | 7c | 241.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4092…f145backed GamerLegion | 17c | 171.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed NIP | 73c | 165.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.57 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849b…a5fdbacked GamerLegion | 30c | 129.81$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.28 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -3.9wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d0…6450backed GamerLegion | 40c | 121.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.19 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed NIP | 64c | 108.88$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45da…72febacked GamerLegion | 27c | 106.24$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.69 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56fd…d60dbacked GamerLegion | 37c | 103.3$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.61 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed NIP | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed GamerLegion | 24c | 99.26$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked NIP | 80c | 98.16$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked NIP | 68c | 98.07$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.48 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7635…63f6backed NIP | 66c | 97.96$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.31 | 175 | 48%84 W · 91 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed GamerLegion | 24c | 97.44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.09 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked NIP | 64c | 86.8$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed GamerLegion | 14c | 78.1$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed NIP | 68c | 70.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked NIP | 60c | 59.21$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed GamerLegion | 40c | 56.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked NIP | 73c | 54.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked NIP | 51c | 51.86$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6d7…526dbacked NIP | 66c | 44.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 224 | 44.6%100 W · 124 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd1…3f34backed GamerLegion | 30c | 44.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 43 | 55.8%24 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd445…6e49backed GamerLegion | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7514…49bebacked NIP | 64c | 30.58$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 317 | 58%184 W · 133 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…49e3backed NIP | 73c | 26.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked NIP | 78c | 22.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed NIP | 66c | 22.2$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 182 | 53.8%98 W · 84 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed GamerLegion | 50c | 21.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.91 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked NIP | 68c | 21.64$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.92 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked NIP | 65c | 18.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…5792backed NIP | 73c | 13.85$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.67 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs NIP (+1.5)NIP won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.