NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Penguins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x574e8b6b27a94cd3d7e2e7c02437660faf1797e370203fdc341b758ff1304f10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Penguinsof Red Wings, Penguins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $694,137
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $709,845
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $694,137 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 500 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bec…b215backed Penguins | 49c | 205,189$100,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,539.59 | 164 | 42.7%70 W · 94 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Penguins | 51c | 160,733$81,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,758.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Red Wings | 52c | 124,596$64,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64,290.11 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Red Wings | 51c | 80,000$40,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,800 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Red Wings | 50c | 68,342$34,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,354.48 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Penguins | 48c | 68,053$32,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,387.43 | 150 | 54.7%82 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Red Wings | 51c | 50,000$25,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,400 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Red Wings | 50c | 17,635$8,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,757.28 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Red Wings | 49c | 13,391$6,572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,572.23 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6165…db3cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 10,416$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -4.8wins | -0.11per pick | 60cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Penguins | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,099.98 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Penguins | 51c | 9,827$5,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,810.08 | 197 | 59.4%117 W · 80 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Red Wings | 50c | 9,785$4,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,902.83 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Penguins | 52c | 9,292$4,844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.04 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Red Wings | 47c | 8,579$4,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,024.4 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Red Wings | 51c | 8,519$4,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,344.8 | 367 | 48%176 W · 191 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc7…4003backed Red Wings | 50c | 8,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Red Wings | 51c | 7,982$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Penguins | 68c | 7,496$5,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,415.95 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Red Wings | 50c | 6,079$3,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,038.62 | 255 | 52.5%134 W · 121 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69a0…cec6backed Red Wings | 49c | 6,043$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.23 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e12…20e9backed Red Wings | 49c | 5,938$2,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,909.44 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Red Wings | 51c | 5,900$3,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,009 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Red Wings | 11c | 5,363$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.52 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Penguins | 77c | 5,046$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.02 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Penguins | 79c | 4,327$3,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$906.57 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Red Wings | 51c | 4,106$2,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,085.32 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Penguins | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec9…02f6backed Red Wings | 51c | 4,041$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…9858backed Penguins | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080 | 291 | 46.7%136 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,903$1,962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,961.85 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Red Wings | 27c | 3,787$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010.95 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Red Wings | 50c | 3,535$1,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,783.69 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Red Wings | 8c | 3,333$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.53 | 49 | 12.2%6 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Red Wings | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Red Wings | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Penguins | 73c | 2,826$2,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.34 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Red Wings | 9c | 2,800$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.12 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Red Wings | 16c | 2,722$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.39 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Penguins | 48c | 2,666$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,386.08 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Penguins | 50c | 2,555$1,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.48 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Red Wings | 27c | 2,549$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.04 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Penguins | 49c | 2,500$1,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Penguins | 49c | 2,474$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.67 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,468$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.08 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75af…145fbacked Penguins | 50c | 2,171$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.91 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Penguins | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.82 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Red Wings | 5c | 2,016$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.24 | 544 | 18%98 W · 446 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Red Wings | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Penguins | 51c | 1,966$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.7 | 146 | 50%73 W · 73 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Red Wings | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Penguins | 51c | 1,790$913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.07 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings | 15c | 1,717$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.61 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Penguins | 49c | 1,570$769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.7 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Red Wings | 41c | 1,557$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.84 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…a137backed Red Wings | 11c | 1,495$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.93 | 302 | 59.6%180 W · 122 L | +31.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Red Wings | 5c | 1,392$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Red Wings | 30c | 1,364$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.87 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,301$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.39 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa701…86a3backed Red Wings | 28c | 1,269$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.85 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Red Wings | 49c | 1,200$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.27 | 127 | 45.7%58 W · 69 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Penguins | 51c | 1,193$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.53 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Red Wings | 31c | 1,112$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,111$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.61 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Red Wings | 32c | 1,107$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.13 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,091$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.45 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 321 | 50.8%163 W · 158 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Red Wings | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Red Wings | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 270 | 48.1%130 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…f205backed Red Wings | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 242 | 0.8%2 W · 240 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Red Wings | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3d…85abbacked Penguins | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Penguins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4820…c613backed Penguins | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Red Wings | 32c | 976$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.36 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Red Wings | 19c | 971.29$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.85 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb339…b7c8backed Red Wings | 51c | 931.27$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.95 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Penguins | 48c | 867.21$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.95 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Red Wings | 34c | 849$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.48 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Red Wings | 51c | 811.59$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.35 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Penguins | 63c | 807.95$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.6 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Red Wings | 50c | 804.16$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 154 | 44.8%69 W · 85 L | -11.0wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Penguins | 48c | 800$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Red Wings | 49c | 713.99$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.86 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a6…804dbacked Red Wings | 51c | 713.96$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0a…a0f0backed Red Wings | 21c | 700$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 67 | 55.2%37 W · 30 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Red Wings | 51c | 699.98$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.99 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Red Wings | 52c | 663$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.08 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Penguins | 79c | 654.85$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.63 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x141a…95a9backed Penguins | 51c | 654.36$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.36 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58fb…1f65backed Red Wings | 5c | 651.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Red Wings | 16c | 650.74$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.55 | 73 | 17.8%13 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc932…e6a5backed Penguins | 56c | 633.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.47 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 64cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Penguins | 69c | 600$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.79 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Red Wings | 12c | 590.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 256 | 35.9%92 W · 164 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974f…cd80backed Red Wings | 50c | 588.2$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.1 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Penguinsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 4.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 5.5Over won
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Penguins: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Red Wings (-1.5)Penguins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.