Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Krejcikova (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60485c5bf23c114a478a1617865ef55afc3832d5d2506064f0af08ae5aa38a53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Krejcikovaof Andreeva, Krejcikova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,984
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,984 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Krejcikova | 61c | 3,250$1,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,273.17 | 1,277 | 56.6%723 W · 554 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Andreeva | 39c | 2,695$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.08 | 4,082 | 39.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L | +93.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056b…303ebacked Krejcikova | 59c | 1,683$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.08 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Andreeva | 42c | 1,104$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.9 | 1,515 | 37.7%571 W · 944 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Andreeva | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.99 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Andreeva | 40c | 510$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 1,158 | 41.4%479 W · 679 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Krejcikova | 59c | 354.35$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Krejcikova | 56c | 312.71$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.99 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Andreeva | 42c | 308.87$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.41 | 2,204 | 36.9%813 W · 1,391 L | +39.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1861…408dbacked Andreeva | 39c | 297.1$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.87 | 452 | 51.8%234 W · 218 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed Andreeva | 41c | 237.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.33 | 996 | 49.5%493 W · 503 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca7…0c48backed Krejcikova | 58c | 219.19$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.06 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Andreeva | 42c | 178$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.76 | 447 | 42.3%189 W · 258 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaffe…7140backed Krejcikova | 56c | 104$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.76 | 432 | 42.4%183 W · 249 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaffd…7158backed Krejcikova | 57c | 88$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Krejcikova | 57c | 86.65$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.26 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7285…3273backed Krejcikova | 59c | 73.36$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 84 | 50%42 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Andreeva | 41c | 64.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.64 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee5a…9f70backed Andreeva | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 41.3%147 W · 209 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…40ecbacked Krejcikova | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Andreeva | 45c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Andreeva | 41c | 35.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 956 | 58.2%556 W · 400 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Andreeva | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Andreeva | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 427 | 45.7%195 W · 232 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Andreeva | 41c | 33.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.89 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Andreeva | 41c | 32.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.37 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x940a…fe74backed Andreeva | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Krejcikova (+1.5)this page
- Krejcikova vs. Andreeva: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Krejcikova vs AndreevaAndreeva won
- Set 2 Winner: Krejcikova vs AndreevaKrejcikova won
- Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Mirra AndreevaBarbora Krejcikova won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.