Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f90b8fbb4785ab150b0036a683adb4463d9081c3996c8b620efdc0b73f1a4fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,374
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,374 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 35c | 1,741$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.08 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed Yes | 25c | 1,226$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.38 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 71c | 833.64$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked No | 78c | 653.26$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.65 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 23c | 631.22$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.58 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30bd…cecabacked Yes | 40c | 493.58$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.77 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 33c | 474.78$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.17 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Yes | 42c | 450.68$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 30c | 414.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.64 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 26c | 387.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.75 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 75c | 374.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.19 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 60c | 333.3$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.32 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 32c | 332.16$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.58 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 35c | 329.45$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 39c | 291.18$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.78 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 66c | 272.82$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 66c | 238.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.7 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 32c | 205.13$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 34c | 192.58$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.92 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 32c | 185.74$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.08 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 36c | 166.26$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaf…051bbacked Yes | 34c | 161.38$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.55 | 131 | 60.3%79 W · 52 L | +13.9wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 25c | 159.55$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.67 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 158.34$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.68 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 68c | 157.59$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.41 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 15c | 150$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed No | 69c | 149.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Yes | 30c | 146.11$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 999 | 63.5%634 W · 365 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…04eabacked No | 77c | 143.78$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.65 | 201 | 72.6%146 W · 55 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 11c | 139.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6af…4219backed Yes | 39c | 130.85$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 506 | 48.8%247 W · 259 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 35c | 127.74$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00f…abd9backed Yes | 38c | 124.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.89 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x019c…e8d2backed No | 59c | 121.17$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.43 | 565 | 43.5%246 W · 319 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 64c | 121.16$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.94 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 64c | 119.97$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 33c | 113.59$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.34 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 77c | 112$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe07e…0e7ebacked Yes | 37c | 110.58$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 334 | 50.6%169 W · 165 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 43c | 110.39$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.13 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 65c | 109.67$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 67c | 104.53$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76a2…6651backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 37.7%55 W · 91 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 63c | 97.5$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.67 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…05aabacked Yes | 23c | 92.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.46 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 38c | 85.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x272e…8a4cbacked Yes | 33c | 83.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 32c | 83.39$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.54 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x167e…0f16backed No | 67c | 80$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 83 | 61.4%51 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4f…8fbcbacked Yes | 27c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…634cbacked Yes | 48c | 78.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed No | 63c | 74.56$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6723…0f31backed Yes | 33c | 72.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 32c | 68.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 80c | 67.9$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.58 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…1d3abacked Yes | 31c | 66.82$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe49f…b083backed Yes | 41c | 65.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 33c | 65.61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 65.37$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf1…ffd5backed Yes | 30c | 64.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.53 | 114 | 36%41 W · 73 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x362f…b8eabacked Yes | 27c | 64.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 60c | 62.4$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 32c | 59.32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…da47backed Yes | 30c | 58.06$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.31 | 264 | 34.1%90 W · 174 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 23c | 57.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62d…5577backed Yes | 34c | 55.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 250 | 38%95 W · 155 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831a…ad82backed Yes | 26c | 52.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 37c | 51.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c93…8967backed No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 444 | 48.6%216 W · 228 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…7adabacked No | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09b8…35d7backed Yes | 30c | 49.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 68c | 49.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 30c | 49.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e77…54cfbacked Yes | 38c | 49.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 319 | 43.3%138 W · 181 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 75c | 48.28$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 69c | 47.12$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 26c | 46.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd89…3fc4backed Yes | 36c | 46.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb26…0e22backed Yes | 31c | 45.39$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 391 | 57%223 W · 168 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…d76ebacked Yes | 33c | 44.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 117 | 29.9%35 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4560…8ce8backed Yes | 34c | 43.93$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 350 | 58.3%204 W · 146 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…13f1backed No | 68c | 42.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 71c | 40.78$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 76c | 39.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 70c | 38.94$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 68c | 38.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…bc29backed No | 66c | 37.79$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 146 | 66.4%97 W · 49 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 36c | 37.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 69c | 33.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 35c | 33.62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b1…79d7backed No | 64c | 33.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 889 | 73.2%651 W · 238 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa680…459bbacked Yes | 37c | 32.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 77c | 32.45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 31.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.77 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb82…fa1dbacked Yes | 36c | 31.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 29.99$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.