Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ee832d14cf7a4feb990a61300c46d07c5f617ff645b8075226be154190db557
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $31,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 33c | 2,418$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,625.92 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f7…9a6abacked No | 62c | 1,153$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.42 | 108 | 43.5%47 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…4d2bbacked Yes | 42c | 1,018$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.4 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdafd…2ad4backed No | 6c | 531.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 122 | 28.7%35 W · 87 L | +9.2wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…b9edbacked Yes | 60c | 466.41$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.75 | 421 | 30.4%128 W · 293 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb01…43bbbacked Yes | 37c | 447.27$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.53 | 739 | 27.3%202 W · 537 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7a4…f148backed Yes | 34c | 430.5$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.42 | 1,429 | 34.5%493 W · 936 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 36c | 355.55$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.55 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4d0…b168backed Yes | 42c | 341.33$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.48 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 49c | 332.86$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.8 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 20c | 315.08$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.06 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 34c | 304.89$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.68 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 67c | 297.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.65 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 295.72$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.4 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 16c | 250.4$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.94 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 21c | 241.98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.95 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 37c | 202.83$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…e901backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed No | 14c | 195.81$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 41c | 193.52$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.35 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 77c | 192.28$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.06 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82c7…05aabacked Yes | 29c | 185.7$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.74 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6400…331abacked No | 80c | 160.72$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.58 | 424 | 69.1%293 W · 131 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb557…634cbacked Yes | 58c | 158.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.41 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f6…9f18backed Yes | 69c | 155.55$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.63 | 146 | 59.6%87 W · 59 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3f1…c252backed Yes | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 41cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 80c | 146.61$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 34c | 137.04$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.33 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…c103backed No | 54c | 133.98$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.35 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 16c | 132.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.36 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked No | 30c | 130.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.76 | 584 | 22.8%133 W · 451 L | -26.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23a…3e2bbacked No | 77c | 127.28$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 41c | 125.73$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf955…30b3backed No | 36c | 121.63$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.79 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd082…b5e8backed Yes | 40c | 120.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 34c | 110.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.05 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 43c | 110.13$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.92 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 49c | 108.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 102.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.52 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb501…9a53backed Yes | 38c | 102.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.12 | 175 | 36%63 W · 112 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354d…eb8fbacked Yes | 30c | 101.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.71 | 701 | 33.5%235 W · 466 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 45c | 101.14$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed No | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 287 | 37.6%108 W · 179 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea1…d176backed No | 57c | 89.1$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.83 | 203 | 53.7%109 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda26…8fefbacked Yes | 42c | 85.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 34c | 84.29$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.63 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c68…7936backed Yes | 65c | 81.01$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.46 | 107 | 84.1%90 W · 17 L | +30.1wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +66%equal weight | 75+0.23 edge/pick |
| 0x1c06…62e3backed No | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | +8.7wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…c271backed Yes | 59c | 73.64$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x420c…1f36backed Yes | 38c | 73.38$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.22 | 298 | 35.2%105 W · 193 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 39c | 71.48$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.6 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd90…4bfcbacked Yes | 30c | 64.92$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 577 | 47%271 W · 306 L | +40.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…c507backed Yes | 19c | 60.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.13 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1009…3c2bbacked No | 77c | 60.09$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.27 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -3.2wins | -0.35per pick | 69cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x643d…f7ddbacked Yes | 21c | 60.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.39 | 68 | 25%17 W · 51 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc941…a0e8backed No | 69c | 58.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.69 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | +9.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed No | 71c | 58.87$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 1,554 | 33.1%515 W · 1,039 L | -66.6wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8daf…ef60backed No | 49c | 57.84$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 68c | 53.68$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.12 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c2…7adabacked Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +129.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x087c…5f66backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 58c | 49.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf8c…29ddbacked Yes | 77c | 49.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed No | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 23c | 47.85$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.04 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8547…39abbacked Yes | 45c | 47.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 148 | 33.1%49 W · 99 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b0…6be2backed Yes | 22c | 45.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…ee90backed Yes | 42c | 45.35$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 60c | 43.19$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked No | 69c | 42.19$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe45e…fcb8backed Yes | 36c | 42.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.99 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…57bcbacked Yes | 28c | 41.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 391 | 59.8%234 W · 157 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5964…35dfbacked No | 25c | 41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 1,279 | 33.6%430 W · 849 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0638…df07backed Yes | 70c | 40.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9d…f963backed Yes | 30c | 40$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…b3c3backed Yes | 36c | 38.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 78c | 38.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e7…04a6backed Yes | 38c | 37.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8215…1279backed Yes | 48c | 35.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 387 | 58.7%227 W · 160 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 69c | 33.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.97 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…35c5backed Yes | 34c | 32.95$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…89d2backed Yes | 38c | 32.3$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 41c | 32.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0175…4264backed No | 80c | 30.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 97 | 53.6%52 W · 45 L | -12.2wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…9678backed No | 80c | 30.82$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.66 | 95 | 53.7%51 W · 44 L | -12.1wins | -0.13per pick | 66cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x407e…5bf0backed No | 77c | 30.77$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | -7.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9010…df3ebacked Yes | 61c | 30.72$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.99 | 141 | 44%62 W · 79 L | +9.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b81…82dbbacked Yes | 43c | 29.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.01 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 50c | 29.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaada…160bbacked Yes | 41c | 29.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.46 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…f04cbacked No | 72c | 29.14$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.98 | 673 | 36.1%243 W · 430 L | -48.7wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…b97abacked Yes | 36c | 29.04$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 175 | 36.6%64 W · 111 L | +11.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 67c | 29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 56c | 28.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x710d…02aabacked Yes | 43c | 28.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 340 | 67.4%229 W · 111 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 70c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be 49°F or below on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.