Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2069a23daac451697b616d0a91e2fbfc72637b3a6c293408182c1a6baa002eec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,747 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 69c | 9,801$6,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.79 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 6,563$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.14 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fb…9f72backed Team Spirit | 67c | 6,007$4,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.58 | 545 | 56.5%308 W · 237 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 5,983$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.38 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 5,893$1,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,753.65 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3833…33d1backed Team Spirit | 75c | 5,254$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.54 | 426 | 50%213 W · 213 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 3,616$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 2,895$2,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.63 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…1d79backed Team Spirit | 78c | 2,575$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.26 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 2,542$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.4 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,289$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586.51 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 2,051$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.69 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,996$1,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.6 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,985$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.1 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…a603backed Team Spirit | 74c | 1,836$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.48 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 59cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,704$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.59 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 1,649$1,201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.56 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.99 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Spirit | 77c | 1,141$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.83 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 1,134$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.85 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Nigma Galaxy | 16c | 1,100$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…c59ebacked Team Spirit | 64c | 1,088$694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…8919backed Team Spirit | 79c | 966.09$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.6 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…e255backed Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 947.45$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebf4…181ebacked Team Spirit | 75c | 933.33$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.33 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 905.92$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.88 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Spirit | 76c | 833.95$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 3c | 650$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 645.77$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.6 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 625.32$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.32 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9db…3999backed Nigma Galaxy | 8c | 617.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Team Spirit | 72c | 599.99$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 579.62$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 539$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.58 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1942…2c75backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 511.54$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…6128backed Team Spirit | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 180 | 75%135 W · 45 L | +18.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Spirit | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 499.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.7 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…9d98backed Team Spirit | 67c | 447.76$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.76 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 422.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6d61backed Team Spirit | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 64c | 380.97$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.39 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 380.77$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc33…aa3ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 365.93$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 75 | 60%45 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 350$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 75c | 333.33$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.33 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b12…5f8fbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 319.77$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.52 | 295 | 48.5%143 W · 152 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Nigma Galaxy | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Team Spirit | 71c | 294.06$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.88 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 19c | 292.81$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0caf…91adbacked Team Spirit | 73c | 280.71$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.16 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -9.7wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Team Spirit | 75c | 265.69$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.42 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +13%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb11…66cbbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 260$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.8 | 147 | 44.9%66 W · 81 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 257.68$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.49 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 250$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006a…14edbacked Team Spirit | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 119 | 60.5%72 W · 47 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1034…b26dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Spirit | 75c | 161.33$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.33 | 508 | 55.5%282 W · 226 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Team Spirit | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.84 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 157.2$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.05 | 306 | 47.4%145 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b4…17b1backed Nigma Galaxy | 13c | 155$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 133 | 31.6%42 W · 91 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Nigma Galaxy | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 451 | 39.2%177 W · 274 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 148$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Team Spirit | 67c | 143.98$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.11 | 565 | 48%271 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Spirit | 74c | 134.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.31 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Team Spirit | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 249 | 55.4%138 W · 111 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3492…983fbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 133$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +5.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Team Spirit | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.21 | 98 | 58.2%57 W · 41 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 128.21$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.21 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06d9…7cfbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 21c | 123.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 201 | 51.2%103 W · 98 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 117.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.72 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 75c | 117.52$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.38 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 117.3$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 1,034 | 16.3%169 W · 865 L | -158.1wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x598c…cc0bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 14c | 115.29$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6503…0c3dbacked Team Spirit | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9e…eb82backed Team Spirit | 76c | 101.63$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.65 | 203 | 49.8%101 W · 102 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fb…4442backed Team Spirit | 77c | 101.24$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.59 | 87 | 63.2%55 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Team Spirit | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 348 | 60.1%209 W · 139 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Nigma Galaxy | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0702…e5eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 407 | 45.5%185 W · 222 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 96.92$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 864 | 51.7%447 W · 417 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Spirit | 69c | 96$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.64 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…b133backed Team Spirit | 63c | 94.59$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x899e…0863backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 94.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 54.5%144 W · 120 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f9e…10c8backed Team Spirit | 76c | 89$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 84.52$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.92 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd08…2c93backed Team Spirit | 71c | 82.18$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 167 | 52.7%88 W · 79 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Team Spirit | 78c | 80.01$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 1,013 | 45.5%461 W · 552 L | -46.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b41…2c02backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 79.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 726 | 37.5%272 W · 454 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Nigma Galaxy | 34c | 78$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed4…f891backed Team Spirit | 77c | 77.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 72.42$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.26 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f05…a9b9backed Team Spirit | 67c | 72.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Nigma Galaxy | 28c | 68.06$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Team Spirit | 75c | 67.93$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101f…b386backed Team Spirit | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 321 | 54.8%176 W · 145 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7627…4404backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 62$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 148 | 32.4%48 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…8e43backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 59.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.