Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74ab85fa8f9da18336d561467ed858bba3bc9b30bbbed3a75a43bffedad7f28a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Spiritof Team Spirit, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $386,221
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $386,221 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 295 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 107,473$34,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,171.12 | 287 | 48.8%140 W · 147 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…09eebacked Team Spirit | 66c | 50,544$33,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,173.97 | 551 | 57%314 W · 237 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Spirit | 69c | 25,861$17,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,141.21 | 2,012 | 44.2%889 W · 1,123 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…f071backed Team Spirit | 79c | 15,519$12,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,335.71 | 344 | 68.9%237 W · 107 L | +26.3wins | +0.08per pick | 61cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Team Spirit | 68c | 11,453$7,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,664.99 | 125 | 60%75 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Team Spirit | 52c | 8,575$4,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,115.62 | 337 | 46.3%156 W · 181 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Nigma Galaxy | 44c | 8,335$3,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,696.44 | 517 | 51.3%265 W · 252 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1196…fe97backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 7,632$1,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.68 | 96 | 36.5%35 W · 61 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 6,137$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,473.47 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Nigma Galaxy | 25c | 6,124$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.57 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Spirit | 68c | 5,555$3,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,777.6 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62f2…07f8backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 5,511$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.68 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…0958backed Team Spirit | 34c | 4,885$1,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,224.06 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 4,330$2,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,092.03 | 187 | 46.5%87 W · 100 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Spirit | 71c | 3,483$2,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.05 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Team Spirit | 75c | 3,450$2,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.5 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked Team Spirit | 44c | 3,420$1,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,923.29 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Spirit | 69c | 3,095$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.85 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 40c | 2,979$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba4a…9fa6backed Team Spirit | 70c | 2,880$2,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$864 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff2…01b9backed Team Spirit | 71c | 2,653$1,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Team Spirit | 50c | 2,614$1,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.68 | 666 | 62.2%414 W · 252 L | +60.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 2,523$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.39 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59c8…de83backed Nigma Galaxy | 53c | 2,506$1,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe999…12bdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 2,445$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.58 | 181 | 56.4%102 W · 79 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9553…cfc7backed Team Spirit | 61c | 2,024$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.52 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 810 | 29.4%238 W · 572 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1f…ed28backed Nigma Galaxy | 48c | 1,698$819 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.67 | 605 | 52.6%318 W · 287 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked Team Spirit | 62c | 1,618$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.19 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd1…5a9bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 1,614$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 203 | 67%136 W · 67 L | +14.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Team Spirit | 66c | 1,597$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.04 | 165 | 50.9%84 W · 81 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 1,562$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.45 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Spirit | 50c | 1,555$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.68 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Nigma Galaxy | 7c | 1,530$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Team Spirit | 67c | 1,405$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.89 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Nigma Galaxy | 47c | 1,382$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$643.39 | 738 | 41.7%308 W · 430 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed Nigma Galaxy | 24c | 1,300$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,282$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.15 | 869 | 49%426 W · 443 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Team Spirit | 67c | 1,236$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.22 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f99…c209backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,200$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.2 | 128 | 51.6%66 W · 62 L | -9.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1197…8311backed Team Spirit | 80c | 1,188$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.91 | 126 | 61.1%77 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,166$774 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.44 | 115 | 49.6%57 W · 58 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9a41backed Team Spirit | 66c | 1,150$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.65 | 230 | 50.9%117 W · 113 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Nigma Galaxy | 45c | 1,100$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.81 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf012…8a8ebacked Team Spirit | 78c | 1,069$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.23 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d8d…9fb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 2c | 1,061$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 1,050$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e4…22ccbacked Nigma Galaxy | 26c | 1,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 171 | 33.9%58 W · 113 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3f…ab65backed Nigma Galaxy | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -7.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked Team Spirit | 68c | 1,000$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 301 | 55.5%167 W · 134 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Nigma Galaxy | 43c | 974.18$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.25 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Nigma Galaxy | 6c | 949.95$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.6 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2687…1363backed Nigma Galaxy | 37c | 941.3$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.89 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +26.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 878.07$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97e…262bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 20c | 801.14$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 526 | 49.2%259 W · 267 L | +21.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de4…67a8backed Team Spirit | 67c | 769.44$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.69 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…8b33backed Team Spirit | 67c | 728.96$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.98 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Spirit | 68c | 718.6$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.88 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea8…077dbacked Team Spirit | 66c | 701.84$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.01 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x917b…e433backed Team Spirit | 66c | 699.87$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.44 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76fc…48fabacked Team Spirit | 66c | 698.56$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.16 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Team Spirit | 74c | 680.68$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3c7…bf04backed Team Spirit | 76c | 657.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.77 | 150 | 51.3%77 W · 73 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Team Spirit | 47c | 624.09$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.72 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c27…eea9backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 613.85$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.85 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3d…cfffbacked Team Spirit | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 367 | 59.1%217 W · 150 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168b…0acfbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 600$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.12 | 183 | 62.8%115 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Team Spirit | 56c | 599.99$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.4 | 450 | 52.4%236 W · 214 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Team Spirit | 60c | 599.99$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.12 | 134 | 56%75 W · 59 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c28…6a12backed Nigma Galaxy | 5c | 599.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Team Spirit | 52c | 572.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 396 | 60.1%238 W · 158 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcb…b05abacked Nigma Galaxy | 57c | 567.38$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 380 | 49.2%187 W · 193 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +168.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed Team Spirit | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 264 | 53%140 W · 124 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcc…5ae5backed Nigma Galaxy | 65c | 517.19$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.67 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a53…1b12backed Nigma Galaxy | 30c | 503$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd679…9ccfbacked Team Spirit | 77c | 497.39$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.4 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +11.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb22d…3a13backed Team Spirit | 61c | 494.35$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.35 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08c2…c023backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 491.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.76 | 489 | 54.6%267 W · 222 L | +23.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…13f5backed Team Spirit | 46c | 478.26$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.26 | 450 | 46.7%210 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed Team Spirit | 80c | 468.09$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.7 | 450 | 61.6%277 W · 173 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed Nigma Galaxy | 42c | 442.22$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.16 | 576 | 54.5%314 W · 262 L | +29.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Spirit | 47c | 426.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 436 | 47.5%207 W · 229 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…1c68backed Team Spirit | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 641 | 49.9%320 W · 321 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Team Spirit | 48c | 414.72$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.72 | 147 | 47.6%70 W · 77 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb67…fd46backed Team Spirit | 47c | 404$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.75 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5c3…1f5fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Spirit | 46c | 399.99$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Team Spirit | 59c | 390.99$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Team Spirit | 67c | 383.87$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.51 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Team Spirit | 66c | 383.53$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.29 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae4c…dcb9backed Team Spirit | 59c | 367$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.99 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Spirit | 69c | 362.32$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.32 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…da33backed Team Spirit | 68c | 359.59$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.34 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0960…5adcbacked Nigma Galaxy | 56c | 359.35$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 354.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.34 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5502…d440backed Team Spirit | 71c | 351.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.42 | 454 | 57.5%261 W · 193 L | +39.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +14%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16db…ac64backed Nigma Galaxy | 29c | 346.86$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.59 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Nigma Galaxy | 32c | 341.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.94 | 336 | 45.5%153 W · 183 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Team Spirit | 58c | 325.45$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.95 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c1…dba0backed Nigma Galaxy | 22c | 319.23$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.23 | 226 | 43.8%99 W · 127 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group BTeam Spirit won
- Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerTeam Spirit won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.