CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf26eabbfa97d9d9c32387831cc2dd313d42406d6d59ed36840924e78bb65600
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof Bebop, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,056
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Hashiras | 66c | 1,371$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.96 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Bebop | 50c | 1,276$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.53 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Bebop | 17c | 1,145$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.48 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 43c | 1,043$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.91 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed Bebop | 32c | 594.34$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.4 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Hashiras | 77c | 550.39$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.72 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hashiras | 64c | 404.34$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.18 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Hashiras | 56c | 341.89$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Bebop | 38c | 190.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.82 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Hashiras | 52c | 178.07$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.09 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 40c | 168.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad6…6909backed Hashiras | 39c | 166.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9927…f135backed Hashiras | 64c | 145.25$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.27 | 53 | 77.4%41 W · 12 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 63cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Hashiras | 53c | 138.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bebop | 26c | 133$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.86 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf11a…1002backed Bebop | 39c | 128.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.9 | 278 | 48.6%135 W · 143 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Bebop | 53c | 104.19$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.83 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Hashiras | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Hashiras | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa640…3b9fbacked Bebop | 35c | 99.97$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.98 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bebop | 21c | 85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.92 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Hashiras | 64c | 65.56$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Hashiras | 48c | 64$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bebop | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 213 | 51.2%109 W · 104 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Bebop | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 115 | 46.1%53 W · 62 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Bebop | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Bebop | 38c | 63.34$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.27 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bebop | 39c | 61.76$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.67 | 77 | 57.1%44 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bebop | 39c | 61.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.18 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Bebop | 40c | 60.25$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.15 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7aec…ef65backed Bebop | 20c | 53.98$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.80per pick | 20cpaid | +401.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Hashiras | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bebop | 37c | 49.41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Hashiras | 41c | 48.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…b1a2backed Hashiras | 33c | 47.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.57 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 40cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Bebop | 43c | 45.59$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…f0a2backed Hashiras | 48c | 40.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Bebop | 61c | 38.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bebop | 44c | 37.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Hashiras | 62c | 36.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Hashiras | 70c | 33.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Hashiras | 49c | 32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Hashiras | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cd…cedcbacked Hashiras | 60c | 22.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f1e1backed Hashiras | 53c | 20.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Hashiras | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 57.2%103 W · 77 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f1…8be8backed Hashiras | 78c | 13.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerHashiras won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.