CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1d89311699a2fc88acc84be2b26ea2fa44c415b07ea5b0326b111e915504207e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hashirasof Bebop, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,502
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,808
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,502 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Bebop | 58c | 3,270$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.09 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hashiras | 55c | 1,905$1,054 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.16 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Hashiras | 42c | 1,296$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.78 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Hashiras | 57c | 982.73$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.58 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed Bebop | 44c | 909.98$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.39 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bebop | 35c | 799.98$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.77 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed Hashiras | 31c | 719.99$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.79 | 557 | 38.4%214 W · 343 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed Bebop | 4c | 469.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 40c | 458.02$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Hashiras | 43c | 381.65$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.54 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 42c | 340$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.15 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Hashiras | 40c | 300$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Bebop | 60c | 292.8$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bb…22a9backed Hashiras | 33c | 249.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.1 | 276 | 47.1%130 W · 146 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bebop | 32c | 239.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.74 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbce…6e3fbacked Bebop | 51c | 234.18$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.43 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Hashiras | 35c | 214$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.1 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f8…ad19backed Hashiras | 70c | 201.5$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.4 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Bebop | 12c | 192$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Hashiras | 66c | 185.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Bebop | 43c | 180.7$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Bebop | 53c | 169.37$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.23 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…9e52backed Bebop | 56c | 155.98$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.94 | 90 | 28.9%26 W · 64 L | -9.1wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked Bebop | 38c | 153.79$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.44 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe107…8966backed Bebop | 66c | 147.39$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.99 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Bebop | 64c | 134.85$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.15 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca2…5d25backed Bebop | 65c | 109.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.26 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Hashiras | 64c | 104.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.31 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…f538backed Bebop | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x384d…d538backed Bebop | 60c | 100$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Bebop | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e9…f09ebacked Bebop | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x347d…098abacked Hashiras | 72c | 91.47$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Hashiras | 63c | 76.39$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Bebop | 27c | 71.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.15 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Bebop | 56c | 64.64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3892…4093backed Hashiras | 37c | 64.32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 226 | 50%113 W · 113 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133c…b5abbacked Hashiras | 61c | 64.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.04 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | -10.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed Bebop | 47c | 64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd969…b08bbacked Bebop | 27c | 63.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -10.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea37…94f3backed Hashiras | 34c | 62.51$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.39 | 329 | 51.7%170 W · 159 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed Hashiras | 36c | 58.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Hashiras | 54c | 56.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.47 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8277…7d31backed Hashiras | 65c | 54.13$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.89 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Bebop | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bebop | 23c | 49.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bebop | 37c | 48.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Hashiras | 35c | 46.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 146 | 30.8%45 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hashiras | 36c | 45.51$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Bebop | 49c | 43.71$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e55…c148backed Hashiras | 64c | 43.55$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d7…406dbacked Hashiras | 38c | 40.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.28 | 109 | 45%49 W · 60 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…2b69backed Bebop | 46c | 39.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.27 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +103.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bebop | 34c | 36.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Bebop | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 368 | 45.9%169 W · 199 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Bebop | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 452 | 40.3%182 W · 270 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Bebop | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Bebop | 47c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Bebop | 41c | 26.88$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x55de…f431backed Bebop | 71c | 26.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Hashiras | 77c | 25.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x656e…9339backed Bebop | 60c | 24.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 418 | 48.8%204 W · 214 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Hashiras | 63c | 21.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Hashiras | 64c | 20.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbba…f0a2backed Bebop | 65c | 19.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.36per pick | 50cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed Hashiras | 62c | 18.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-InBebop won
- Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.