TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Nuclear TigeRESof KOLESIE, Nuclear TigeRES
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,063
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,063 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES46c868.11$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.844,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6510…36d1backed KOLESIE3c829$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.37321.9%16 W · 57 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick29cpaid-44.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES53c825.44$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.73,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x796d…9551backed KOLESIE2c811$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.662821.4%6 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked KOLESIE11c514.74$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8931328.4%89 W · 224 L-21.8wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-38.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x42b8…5379backed Nuclear TigeRES44c500.57$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.1531452.2%164 W · 150 L-10.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8c7…4332backed KOLESIE59c494.03$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.4817644.3%78 W · 98 L-17.8wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked KOLESIE37c352.43$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.311,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE69c289.91$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.877,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed Nuclear TigeRES36c279.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3255950.3%281 W · 278 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES58c235.72$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.322,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Nuclear TigeRES61c159.57$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.844,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed KOLESIE38c157.43$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.6969635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked KOLESIE14c147$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6716738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed KOLESIE9c117.88$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.7145224.3%110 W · 342 L-52.4wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-45.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE48c108.49$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.636,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked KOLESIE55c107.42$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.143,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8083…0b28backed KOLESIE48c104$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.923036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5625…6c2abacked KOLESIE70c98.2$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.7436151.8%187 W · 174 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd51e…ac0cbacked Nuclear TigeRES37c88.56$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.797857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…a3babacked KOLESIE71c71.21$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.81,11768.6%766 W · 351 L+20.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x99be…3622backed KOLESIE70c68.74$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.129758.8%57 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x30db…44e1backed KOLESIE69c64$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.274555.6%25 W · 20 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd866…55e0backed Nuclear TigeRES34c56.37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.349376.1%375 W · 118 L+96.8wins+0.20per pick56cpaid+29.9%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x1b59…0ba0backed KOLESIE26c56$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5655738.4%214 W · 343 L+11.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa74a…4893backed KOLESIE54c53.25$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.981,21640.1%488 W · 728 L-65.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4693…bf61backed Nuclear TigeRES37c51.33$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.342272.7%16 W · 6 L+4.2wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+38.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9037…0386backed KOLESIE44c47.54$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.083215.6%5 W · 27 L-8.2wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-67.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Nuclear TigeRES41c41.99$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.652254.5%12 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4c7…bb75backed KOLESIE39c41.63$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.222133.3%7 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-35.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x59c8…d2c8backed KOLESIE53c41.18$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.86560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick67cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5857…3fc0backed KOLESIE60c37.68$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.77450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1a…5cddbacked KOLESIE59c36.1$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.472250%11 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-22.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked KOLESIE59c35.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.967545.3%34 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcdfc…e510backed Nuclear TigeRES49c34.38$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.543100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked KOLESIE43c33.68$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.42,60452.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L+98.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x011c…f943backed KOLESIE36c33.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.772045%9 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…1e6dbacked KOLESIE59c32.89$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24fa…3abbbacked Nuclear TigeRES53c30.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x02cd…cedcbacked Nuclear TigeRES36c30.88$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.91553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Nuclear TigeRES52c22.48$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.746160.7%37 W · 24 L+7.0wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+22%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed KOLESIE69c22.44$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.581,10950.5%560 W · 549 L-3.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdda0…edaabacked KOLESIE63c20.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.782934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-44.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked KOLESIE70c18.66$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0538858.2%226 W · 162 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.