CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaef9fdb85630f58bea6724fa8ce7501ee3cf9da50bc252eefba6b8ec9329d402
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof KOLESIE, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,951
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,937
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,951 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 55c | 708.96$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 1,606 | 46.8%752 W · 854 L | -27.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 495.93$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.45 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 50c | 449.37$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.1 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 51c | 372.1$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.29 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed KOLESIE | 26c | 348.43$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.86 | 1,037 | 39.8%413 W · 624 L | +20.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 329.41$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.6 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nuclear TigeRES | 59c | 261.35$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.52 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 188.49$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 6,466 | 42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L | -78.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe56c…2c11backed KOLESIE | 18c | 167.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed KOLESIE | 60c | 162.71$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 47c | 141.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.79 | 3,217 | 51.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L | +89.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed KOLESIE | 21c | 126.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 62c | 110.65$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked KOLESIE | 53c | 91.68$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.59 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked KOLESIE | 46c | 88.62$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.05 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…0db0backed KOLESIE | 55c | 88.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…0880backed KOLESIE | 50c | 87.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…0d54backed KOLESIE | 52c | 82.26$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.53 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62b0…14e7backed KOLESIE | 37c | 78.02$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 70.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.74 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed KOLESIE | 56c | 62.26$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.59 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3169…6dccbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 40c | 57.74$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked KOLESIE | 53c | 54.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 295 | 55.3%163 W · 132 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…e510backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 53.46$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7dba…368dbacked KOLESIE | 60c | 45.62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed KOLESIE | 32c | 41.59$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 2,467 | 24.6%606 W · 1,861 L | -318.3wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 41.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6d…8cc4backed Nuclear TigeRES | 56c | 38.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked Nuclear TigeRES | 80c | 37.05$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb912…7e38backed KOLESIE | 47c | 34.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed KOLESIE | 42c | 28.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 27.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 406 | 52.2%212 W · 194 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed KOLESIE | 40c | 25.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed KOLESIE | 46c | 24.76$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.33 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6724…9592backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 20.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed Nuclear TigeRES | 60c | 19.68$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 66c | 18.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.35 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a22…2929backed Nuclear TigeRES | 63c | 16.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0efb…016cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 13.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.17 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.