UFC · resolved market

UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61f4669e461db4b2957b04f40f9be73a50f4d5f6003b82e0380d2cb984e4b1f5

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Santosof Croden, Santos
Resolved: Dec 13, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $154,397
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $156,156

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,397 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in UFC
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2b15…9b08backed Croden	53c	37,583$19,819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,818.9	291	51.9%151 W · 140 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Croden	43c	29,999$12,899 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,899.38	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-60.9%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc3f…5c6fbacked Santos	44c	28,329$12,407 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,921.59	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-20%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdbad…9c95backed Santos	56c	15,011$8,406 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,604.99	191	54.5%104 W · 87 L	+14.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+13%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Santos	57c	9,646$5,497 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,148.63	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-5.0wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Santos	54c	9,133$4,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,217.32	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Santos	57c	9,000$5,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,899.99	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Croden	43c	8,899$3,859 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,859.25	156	41%64 W · 92 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Croden	43c	6,933$3,011 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,011.42	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x29f9…e310backed Santos	57c	5,262$3,019 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,242.86	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+2.2wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+91.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01ba…b77abacked Santos	56c	5,000$2,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,200	222	59.5%132 W · 90 L	+15.1wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+12.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c9…396dbacked Croden	44c	4,512$2,002 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,002.03	53	62.3%33 W · 20 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	59cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a8b…b1c8backed Croden	54c	3,300$1,788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,788	136	50%68 W · 68 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa16a…c7eebacked Croden	47c	3,191$1,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,500	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Croden	38c	2,824$1,059 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,059.28	212	47.2%100 W · 112 L	+10.1wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd202…964dbacked Croden	3c	2,800$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87	15	0%0 W · 15 L	-0.7wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Santos	62c	2,782$1,728 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,053.54	201	39.8%80 W · 121 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6b4…a278backed Santos	55c	2,663$1,465 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,198.4	10	60%6 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	54cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Croden	37c	2,604$971 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$971.29	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58aa…a481backed Santos	58c	2,586$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,086.34	91	64.8%59 W · 32 L	+8.4wins	+0.09per pick	56cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x869b…c625backed Santos	56c	2,560$1,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,126.5	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	52cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Croden	1c	2,445$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.45	181	45.3%82 W · 99 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3158…d469backed Santos	56c	2,330$1,305 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,025.2	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.19per pick	56cpaid	+31.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa253…7630backed Croden	45c	2,222$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.9	52	40.4%21 W · 31 L	-3.7wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-15%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4811…8698backed Croden	47c	2,128$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	49cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Santos	57c	2,114$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$917.07	177	52%92 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a1b…724fbacked Santos	57c	2,000$1,140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$860	49	81.6%40 W · 9 L	+7.8wins	+0.16per pick	66cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Santos	57c	1,997$1,138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$858.86	78	43.6%34 W · 44 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95b8…47c9backed Santos	57c	1,579$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$678.95	58	43.1%25 W · 33 L	-2.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Croden	43c	1,500$645 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644.99	162	47.5%77 W · 85 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Santos	57c	1,382$788 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$594.21	7	71.4%5 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.17per pick	54cpaid	+53.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Croden	45c	1,333$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$599.85	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	50cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Croden	43c	1,256$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.32	180	38.9%70 W · 110 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c31…5240backed Santos	57c	1,228$700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$528.07	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4291…b6bdbacked Santos	78c	1,228$959 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.32	19	36.8%7 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.11per pick	48cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Croden	41c	1,151$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$473.17	235	37%87 W · 148 L	-3.8wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dd6…f5f4backed Santos	80c	1,116$892 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$224.36	539	56.6%305 W · 234 L	-2.1wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa9ce…691abacked Santos	54c	1,052$567 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$484.99	178	50%89 W · 89 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b4…de82backed Santos	58c	1,043$600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$442.62	105	22.9%24 W · 81 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3349…c0b8backed Santos	68c	1,005$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.2	57	75.4%43 W · 14 L	+4.9wins	+0.09per pick	67cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1bdf…64c3backed Santos	57c	1,000$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$430	60	60%36 W · 24 L	+3.2wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Croden	41c	961.92$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.71	88	40.9%36 W · 52 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe916…4563backed Santos	57c	924.56$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.56	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1dc8…4c1dbacked Croden	40c	917.48$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365	210	44.8%94 W · 116 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…3b80backed Croden	44c	910$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.4	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb07…0769backed Croden	4c	715.87$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.43	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-60.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x4dcd…1722backed Croden	44c	681.82$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.19per pick	39cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Croden	42c	667$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280.14	332	53.3%177 W · 155 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Croden	30c	656.23$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.59	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa53a…e4f1backed Croden	46c	615$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.95	121	59.5%72 W · 49 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Santos	57c	600$342 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$258	72	37.5%27 W · 45 L	-5.5wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x50dd…c186backed Croden	44c	593.18$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261	65	33.8%22 W · 43 L	-4.3wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d05…6f11backed Santos	51c	587.22$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$287.22	52	50%26 W · 26 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91ad…a5cabacked Santos	65c	531.65$346 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.08	51	49%25 W · 26 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed Croden	44c	527.65$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.14	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-5.9wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-36.6%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Croden	44c	506.25$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.75	68	50%34 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x66ba…621fbacked Santos	56c	501.79$281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$220.79	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-3.2wins	-0.14per pick	42cpaid	-41.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked Croden	43c	469$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.67	92	28.3%26 W · 66 L	-7.5wins	-0.08per pick	36cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x77b2…5098backed Croden	44c	450$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-58.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6179…6f80backed Croden	45c	441.36$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	113	32.7%37 W · 76 L	-9.4wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6cb6…ec83backed Croden	46c	440$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.4	223	42.2%94 W · 129 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Santos	78c	436.9$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$96.9	29	41.4%12 W · 17 L	-5.4wins	-0.19per pick	60cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Croden	40c	400$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	367	45.8%168 W · 199 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Santos	56c	400$224 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$176	108	43.5%47 W · 61 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Santos	46c	389.85$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$209.57	124	49.2%61 W · 63 L	+7.4wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Santos	57c	336.84$192 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.84	53	56.6%30 W · 23 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ab…3258backed Santos	57c	315.44$180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.64	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Santos	57c	314.63$179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$135.29	132	67.4%89 W · 43 L	+11.4wins	+0.09per pick	59cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe6e2…4693backed Santos	57c	300$171 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.38per pick	62cpaid	+62.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Croden	43c	276.81$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.81	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Santos	54c	258.21$139 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$118.78	564	50.5%285 W · 279 L	+6.1wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc6f8…7fa1backed Santos	57c	247.37$141 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$106.37	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b9c…900fbacked Croden	44c	225$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	78	30.8%24 W · 54 L	-9.1wins	-0.12per pick	42cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb8c2…a50ebacked Croden	45c	222.22$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	-10.5wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	35-0.14 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Croden	46c	217.39$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	366	55.2%202 W · 164 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Santos	57c	211$121 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$89.69	399	59.6%238 W · 161 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Croden	42c	208.03$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.37	109	28.4%31 W · 78 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	32cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc5…3984backed Croden	44c	206.82$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	-1.4wins	-0.08per pick	55cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb71…10cdbacked Croden	26c	188.46$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	515	33.6%173 W · 342 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc007…1639backed Santos	55c	181.82$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.82	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b29…8373backed Croden	29c	172.69$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.59	209	33.5%70 W · 139 L	-6.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-16%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a2d…d491backed Santos	58c	171.55$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.55	47	53.2%25 W · 22 L	+3.2wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Croden	44c	168$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.92	202	49%99 W · 103 L	+6.0wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d4f…950bbacked Croden	31c	163.38$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.1	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.9wins	+0.10per pick	46cpaid	+1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cdd…11bebacked Croden	39c	160$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.35	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79ae…951cbacked Croden	46c	160$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa66…a9fdbacked Santos	54c	160$87 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.4	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+84.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…3c98backed Croden	44c	159.09$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	130	59.2%77 W · 53 L	+5.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+8.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x798c…6b94backed Croden	46c	155$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.3	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc35e…14c6backed Santos	54c	155$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$71.1	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+84.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4a9…cfa4backed Santos	54c	150$81 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$69	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.46per pick	54cpaid	+85.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb979…32c2backed Croden	46c	150$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1102…af36backed Croden	44c	140$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.6	487	49.1%239 W · 248 L	-8.3wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a2…9b3fbacked Croden	65c	136.75$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.89	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	-6.7wins	-0.18per pick	53cpaid	-26.4%equal weight	38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Santos	55c	135$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60.75	124	46.8%58 W · 66 L	+4.0wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaade…64eabacked Croden	44c	128.05$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.34	41	39%16 W · 25 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Croden	44c	125$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	134	37.3%50 W · 84 L	-10.2wins	-0.08per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7604…78b5backed Santos	57c	124$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.32	83	56.6%47 W · 36 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…5c00backed Santos	57c	123.53$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$53.12	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	60cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4130…a35bbacked Santos	57c	121$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.03	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	44cpaid	+21.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)this page
Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
Will Luana Santos win by KO or TKO?No won
Will Melissa Croden win by KO or TKO?No won
Will the fight be won by KO or TKO?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

UFC Fight Night: Croden vs. Santos (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event