TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Shot" 10+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,683
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,782

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,683 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x355e…a038backed Yes56c467$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.9824037.1%89 W · 151 L-17.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No36c423.42$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.613823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2405…e055backed Yes63c346.9$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.291225%3 W · 9 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-48.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8e…8db8backed No24c307.69$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9548961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.517652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Yes76c100$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2476445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No35c91.15$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.917249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes77c86.08$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1145736.3%166 W · 291 L-13.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xedf3…b88fbacked Yes62c80.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.266334.9%22 W · 41 L-7.0wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked No40c66.92$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.771,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No44c64$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.1666239.6%262 W · 400 L-48.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcca4…abb1backed No46c60$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.21per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes62c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.842737.2%159 W · 268 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No42c40$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked Yes71c40$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.635958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13c9…1fdbbacked No41c37.97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.573132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick44cpaid-31.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf333…ba41backed No45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.311038.2%42 W · 68 L-11.1wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xeaa9…1737backed No45c34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.313148.9%64 W · 67 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes65c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Yes66c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.1461752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes76c20.03$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.8148636.6%178 W · 308 L-48.4wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-32.9%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3706backed Yes65c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716646.4%77 W · 89 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb23b…503fbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa0a…69a2backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.81747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Yes66c20$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.811748.7%57 W · 60 L-15.0wins-0.13per pick62cpaid-23.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.848140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked Yes75c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x734b…2a2cbacked No75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0a1…ddbcbacked Yes59c17.97$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.374045%18 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.