TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will the announcers say "Goal" 40+ times during the Czechia vs Mexico FIFA World Cup Match?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,589
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,470

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,589 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e8e…8db8backed No18c502.08$91 inLost-$90.6148961.3%300 W · 189 L+71.0wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+35.9%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x9f92…2c2dbacked No34c268.7$92 inLost-$91.833823.7%9 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd9c…7133backed Yes75c239.64$180 inWon+$59.919743.3%42 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes67c200$134 inWon+$6617652.8%93 W · 83 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ed0…9c4fbacked No22c188.5$41 inLost-$40.5822550.7%114 W · 111 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…a76cbacked Yes40c141$56 inWon+$84.624954.2%135 W · 114 L+40.3wins+0.16per pick38cpaid+29.9%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed No43c121$53 inLost-$52.676445.9%351 W · 413 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76b…8a50backed No20c84.49$17 inLost-$16.9511256.3%63 W · 49 L+7.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x426f…e76bbacked No67c84$56 inLost-$55.868043.8%35 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x373a…93b4backed No26c82.2$21 inLost-$21.4728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1075…19c1backed No29c70$20 inLost-$20.38218.3%15 W · 67 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No25c50$13 inLost-$12.56870.6%48 W · 20 L+8.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+33.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x83c5…e193backed No35c50$17 inLost-$17.317249.4%85 W · 87 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc05…9a76backed No52c42$22 inLost-$21.848356.6%47 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed No48c32$15 inLost-$15.3248140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e13…e968backed No53c30$16 inLost-$15.911133.3%37 W · 74 L-8.8wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Yes69c20.48$14 inWon+$6.342,79656.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L-9.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x306b…179ebacked Yes67c20$13 inWon+$6.65549.1%27 W · 28 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa0a…69a2backed Yes67c20$13 inWon+$6.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8fc…40bdbacked No60c20$12 inLost-$12633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd555…e28abacked No51c20$10 inLost-$10.235958.5%210 W · 149 L+13.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc2c…0a2cbacked No67c20$13 inLost-$13.421850.9%111 W · 107 L-29.6wins-0.14per pick65cpaid-21.1%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xdc31…3fe8backed Yes61c20$12 inWon+$7.755569.1%38 W · 17 L+6.5wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+18.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x09b4…494bbacked Yes67c20$13 inWon+$6.62642.3%11 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes73c17.52$13 inWon+$4.7316741.9%70 W · 97 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.