Fifa International · resolved market
Senegal leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe740fd7a610474679d960e4593c7682a721a12442e7bdd9682358da3bf0965ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,351
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,227
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,351 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 78c | 43,386$33,837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,549.31 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 19c | 25,308$4,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,719.51 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 26c | 5,067$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,323.16 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 4,842$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,113.58 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 27c | 4,614$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 27c | 2,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 22c | 1,406$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.61 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Yes | 21c | 1,019$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.43 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 979.11$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.34 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Yes | 26c | 831.53$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.2 | 224 | 50.4%113 W · 111 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefd7…a7b1backed Yes | 21c | 825.48$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.36 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…d25cbacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 24.6%47 W · 144 L | -6.8wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64c9…4869backed Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 74c | 701.82$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 74c | 654.29$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.95 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 72c | 598.35$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.56 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 21.5%28 W · 102 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 25c | 390.4$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Yes | 26c | 380.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.01 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 75c | 333$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.25 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x974b…076ebacked Yes | 24c | 300$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed Yes | 17c | 206.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 75c | 173.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 72c | 167.33$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.85 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 26c | 153.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 26c | 115.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…1fdbbacked Yes | 25c | 110$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec83…7014backed No | 76c | 105$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yes | 24c | 105$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 765 | 51.6%395 W · 370 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0091…2439backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 24c | 94.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 74c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x969f…2a81backed Yes | 27c | 86.07$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked No | 70c | 79.79$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.22 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed No | 73c | 75.34$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +9.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…8eb3backed Yes | 25c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…65b3backed Yes | 26c | 42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed No | 72c | 41.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a2…63d5backed Yes | 27c | 40.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd177…1c8abacked Yes | 27c | 40.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a68…4f4dbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed No | 75c | 35.74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.93 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 75c | 31.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.84 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 77c | 24.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 77c | 22.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…09e2backed No | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed No | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 548 | 59.5%326 W · 222 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed No | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 1,293 | 53.6%693 W · 600 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 76c | 14.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.47 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 72c | 13.8$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.8 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Senegal leading at halftime?this page
- Norway leading at halftime?Yes won
- Norway vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.