Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b9a0b1037b5900ca2f7ad14508a339994b4365900d9555f46cb4631b482be5d

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $299,870
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $149,167

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $299,870 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	3c	26,066$737 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$737	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	1c	15,497$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.19	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0f…57c1backed Yes	0c	10,113$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.21	217	6%13 W · 204 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x035b…c6ddbacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.09per pick	48cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	1c	6,707$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.32	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	1c	6,500$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.5	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	6,354$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.87	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes	1c	5,505$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe059…5b92backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	6c	4,952$309 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$309.43	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	1c	4,454$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.9	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4204…165abacked Yes	1c	4,308$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	1c	4,066$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	10c	3,419$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$332.29	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	3,248$339 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$338.55	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	1c	2,805$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.94	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	2,769$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.79	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	18c	2,740$498 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$497.61	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb353…bd7fbacked Yes	2c	2,594$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.91	119	4.2%5 W · 114 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	1c	2,228$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.86	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	23c	2,199$508 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$508.06	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	4c	1,798$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.18	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	4c	1,795$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.19	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	5c	1,785$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.33	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	2c	1,756$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.46	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	4c	1,631$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.11	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	2c	1,601$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.71	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	6c	1,566$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.12	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	1,500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	9c	1,496$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.42	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3f55…d4b5backed Yes	1c	1,490$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.35	332	31%103 W · 229 L	+10.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	3c	1,438$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.09	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	12c	1,354$157 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$157.11	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfae…9dedbacked Yes	18c	1,348$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.44	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,271$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.26	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	2c	1,242$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.64	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	3c	1,226$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.97	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,209$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.3	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	1,172$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.47	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	10c	1,156$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.33	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	26c	1,151$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	2c	1,124$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.47	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	1,073$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.46	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	1,055$844 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$211.05	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	1,040$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.23	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeded…4dcabacked Yes	8c	1,039$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.52	41	17.1%7 W · 34 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-21%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	1,035$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.88	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	16c	1,019$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.12	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	1c	1,005$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3fb…dad8backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.01	123	32.5%40 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	15c	915$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132.93	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	11c	903.72$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.88	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Yes	2c	814.32$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.53	114	18.4%21 W · 93 L	+10.0wins	+0.09per pick	10cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	810$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.67	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	16c	800$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.26	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	2c	799.98$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	1c	796.47$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.56	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	2c	742.52$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.47	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x65fc…beacbacked Yes	11c	680.8$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	124	16.9%21 W · 103 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	18c	611.35$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.59	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes	3c	580.49$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.78	16	6.3%1 W · 15 L	-2.2wins	-0.13per pick	20cpaid	-89.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5b5…e85ebacked Yes	20c	570$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	13c	532.87$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.13	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	7c	490$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.62	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	3c	483.38$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.66	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4eaa…2b9cbacked Yes	22c	455.99$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6817…2f51backed Yes	22c	455.9$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+16.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	2c	450$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68ec…7c22backed Yes	15c	420.19$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.46	62	16.1%10 W · 52 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13e7…c338backed Yes	20c	400$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.3	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67ef…990abacked Yes	21c	400$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.9	732	15.2%111 W · 621 L	+11.7wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	9c	355$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.53	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	6c	341.13$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	18c	338.15$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	321.58$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb9df…d830backed Yes	18c	319.59$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.98	160	17.5%28 W · 132 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2923…77d5backed Yes	9c	307.13$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.56	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24d9…e3e6backed Yes	19c	300$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.3	54	22.2%12 W · 42 L	-2.5wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	+33.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1617…d662backed Yes	18c	299.99$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.3	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-27.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd398…a865backed Yes	19c	291.63$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.09	116	25.9%30 W · 86 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdada…b512backed Yes	5c	290$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.85	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-60.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	75c	287.76$215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73.23	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	6c	270.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.94	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf512…0985backed Yes	13c	256.33$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.05	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6607…0cccbacked Yes	7c	255.23$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.2	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	29cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	12c	250$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.15	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	4c	247.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1839…9fccbacked Yes	15c	244.7$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.56	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	28cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e10…a68abacked Yes	8c	243.31$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes	22c	237.69$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.05	105	47.6%50 W · 55 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-5.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2cc…b624backed Yes	25c	208.12$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.57	111	21.6%24 W · 87 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf70f…1b9abacked Yes	14c	207$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.46	152	46.7%71 W · 81 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7865…28a8backed Yes	25c	200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	103	39.8%41 W · 62 L	+2.2wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72be…67b8backed Yes	21c	200$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.6	97	24.7%24 W · 73 L	+4.3wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x46bb…736bbacked Yes	21c	193.29$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e80…631bbacked Yes	18c	168.68$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	340	39.7%135 W · 205 L	-12.6wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	24c	163.93$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb875…7da8backed No	78c	150$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.5	254	68.5%174 W · 80 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	68cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13c9…1fdbbacked Yes	17c	139.98$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.46	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9290…1257backed Yes	22c	137.82$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	56	44.6%25 W · 31 L	+2.4wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+17.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event