Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582e8c2e2de41253c685c84222b9d6f21280848b11372bd408a14967e852d66b

Rebuilt 2 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $629,159
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $356,768

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $629,159 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	1c	25,143$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.68	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	2c	22,424$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$376.71	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	5c	14,643$713 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.32	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	2c	14,500$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.5	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	0c	11,977$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	2c	11,940$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.85	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	11,284$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124.06	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	11,200$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.8	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	11,043$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.44	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	4c	10,929$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$476.53	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	21	0%0 W · 21 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d55…cd90backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	50	20%10 W · 40 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	+11.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	3c	8,901$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.09	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	1c	8,050$78 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.43	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	3c	7,480$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$229.26	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	5c	7,135$376 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$375.9	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	6c	6,959$414 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.7	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	6,768$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.7	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	6,696$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193.13	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	1c	5,568$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.82	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	5,476$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.11	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	4c	5,408$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.5	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	0c	5,300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	7c	5,149$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381.68	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	5c	5,001$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252.04	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	5,000$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	4,980$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.82	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	10c	4,616$468 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$467.8	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	4c	4,305$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.59	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	4,214$185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.8	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	4,062$211 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$211.24	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	2c	4,056$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.13	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	4c	3,515$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	5c	3,405$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.72	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	7c	3,394$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.5	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	8c	3,050$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.9	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac88…9b35backed Yes	1c	3,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	66	6.1%4 W · 62 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	3,000$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.98	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,000$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.93	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	4c	2,923$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.88	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	6c	2,776$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$163	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	4c	2,761$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.4	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	5c	2,503$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	4c	2,500$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.5	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	1c	2,472$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.38	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	5c	2,422$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.16	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	5c	2,421$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.53	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae31…7fa1backed Yes	2c	2,329$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.93	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+57%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	4c	2,284$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	1c	2,200$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.7	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,126$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	2,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcba3…6055backed Yes	8c	2,000$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	2c	2,000$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46f7…0f92backed Yes	2c	1,976$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.69	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	5c	1,942$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$101.89	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x552c…be63backed Yes	5c	1,849$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.54	143	14%20 W · 123 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	5c	1,800$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.4	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1c4…fcb2backed Yes	1c	1,735$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b2…b87dbacked Yes	4c	1,709$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.82	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	3c	1,663$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.29	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65a2…1f2abacked Yes	8c	1,656$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.13	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	7c	1,634$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.08	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea2…3265backed Yes	2c	1,630$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	31	32.3%10 W · 21 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	5c	1,623$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.25	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	6c	1,591$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.89	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe096…be8ebacked Yes	4c	1,576$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.05	232	12.1%28 W · 204 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-64.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	2c	1,552$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.04	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	6c	1,531$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.95	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	4c	1,522$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	2c	1,505$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	6c	1,500$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.17	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	1c	1,477$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.6	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes	3c	1,436$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.05	105	10.5%11 W · 94 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	1c	1,405$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.52	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	3c	1,360$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.67	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	1,347$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	6c	1,291$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.16	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	6c	1,289$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes	5c	1,278$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.63	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	4c	1,185$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.64	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	4c	1,132$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.51	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	2c	1,110$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.24	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd20…c958backed Yes	6c	1,106$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.28	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	20cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff04…d971backed Yes	1c	1,105$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.45	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	2c	1,100$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	8c	1,071$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.06	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0224…292abacked Yes	8c	1,024$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.91	66	13.6%9 W · 57 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1425…d60dbacked Yes	1c	1,020$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.74	107	42.1%45 W · 62 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc80f…20bbbacked Yes	4c	1,019$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.99	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.84	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	6c	1,000$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.4	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	5c	999.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	9c	995.65$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.05	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	8c	954$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.39	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	1c	946.93$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.98	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	3c	900$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	3c	898.64$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	3c	887.52$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.76	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event