Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55fa57ffeb147d2b74df3ae48fad43f246a48aded571e398a3f18640aa41d9d4

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $530,875
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $401,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $530,875 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 630 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xcba3…6055backed No	73c	14,920$10,899 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,020.66	99	35.4%35 W · 64 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	7c	11,812$876 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$876.11	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	6c	7,158$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.12	994	10.6%105 W · 889 L	-30.0wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3eed…2050backed Yes	27c	6,691$1,805 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,804.87	106	29.2%31 W · 75 L	-5.1wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	23c	6,522$1,482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,481.61	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc732…45b3backed Yes	2c	6,455$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.21	81	8.6%7 W · 74 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+122.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	15c	6,330$972 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$972.01	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x590e…e43dbacked No	72c	6,306$4,532 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,774.75	186	16.1%30 W · 156 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeff9…05fdbacked Yes	38c	5,400$2,052 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,052	164	27.4%45 W · 119 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfee1…746fbacked Yes	19c	5,382$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.5	140	22.1%31 W · 109 L	+5.3wins	+0.04per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9611…e89ebacked Yes	23c	5,158$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,196.51	38	18.4%7 W · 31 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	28c	5,064$1,440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,439.67	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed No	74c	4,520$3,343 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,176.98	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	11c	4,116$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.08	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	12c	4,018$491 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$490.63	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc44a…0f0ebacked Yes	26c	3,444$886 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$885.57	173	35.3%61 W · 112 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	21c	3,264$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$679.99	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed No	70c	3,038$2,113 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.81	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf055…ccddbacked No	73c	3,024$2,220 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$804.14	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.09per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	4c	3,020$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.43	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	11c	3,000$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	16c	2,958$481 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$480.69	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	69c	2,926$2,028 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.14	219	59.8%131 W · 88 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	58cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e9c…2ec7backed Yes	21c	2,875$605 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$604.54	142	19.7%28 W · 114 L	-11.6wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-46%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	20c	2,804$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	17c	2,755$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.74	312	24.7%77 W · 235 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	71c	2,743$1,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$798.68	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	26c	2,724$699 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.76	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	16c	2,715$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.53	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	7c	2,702$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	18c	2,662$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.84	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	2,642$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.16	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	16c	2,576$401 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400.74	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	17c	2,536$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.61	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a3a…22c7backed Yes	23c	2,475$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.61	66	22.7%15 W · 51 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	-16.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	16c	2,365$367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$366.6	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	26c	2,311$599 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$598.95	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	69c	2,308$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$708.14	308	54.9%169 W · 139 L	+3.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	29c	2,235$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650.23	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	9c	2,234$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.64	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x881a…ccccbacked Yes	26c	2,194$572 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.54	132	35.6%47 W · 85 L	+10.5wins	+0.08per pick	28cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa714…ab88backed Yes	25c	2,158$540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	+1.9wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0cc…f09bbacked Yes	26c	2,150$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.89	140	37.1%52 W · 88 L	+5.2wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	19c	2,140$406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$405.88	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	18c	2,046$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.49	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf0a…08e8backed No	75c	2,000$1,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$500	16	62.5%10 W · 6 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	-8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e6e…fa58backed Yes	21c	2,000$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$414.57	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-23%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	8c	1,956$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.81	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	16c	1,936$319 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.19	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4067…6ffabacked Yes	40c	1,925$770 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$770.06	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	1,904$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.17	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	13c	1,904$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.36	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	19c	1,884$358 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$358	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	20c	1,880$371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$371.11	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No	72c	1,860$1,332 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$527.48	148	64.9%96 W · 52 L	+9.6wins	+0.07per pick	58cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a34…a5dcbacked Yes	3c	1,855$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.15	52	32.7%17 W · 35 L	+2.7wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	79c	1,629$1,279 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.12	217	57.6%125 W · 92 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	8c	1,581$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.28	211	22.3%47 W · 164 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa845…563ebacked Yes	38c	1,574$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	54	33.3%18 W · 36 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	23c	1,570$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.08	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a3…24eabacked Yes	20c	1,529$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	41	9.8%4 W · 37 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-48.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	26c	1,500$390 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	7c	1,500$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3f…a942backed No	77c	1,489$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$335.65	115	56.5%65 W · 50 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	10c	1,489$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.89	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	32c	1,478$475 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$474.74	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cb5…899dbacked Yes	34c	1,439$494 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$493.94	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	+3.6wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbc20…8c98backed Yes	20c	1,400$286 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$286	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	4c	1,400$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	75c	1,393$1,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.66	239	55.2%132 W · 107 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	57cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa4a…fc9bbacked Yes	24c	1,375$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	90	35.6%32 W · 58 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	13c	1,365$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.73	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	71c	1,351$953 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$397.94	386	48.2%186 W · 200 L	+15.7wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	8c	1,348$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee76…8fcebacked Yes	31c	1,334$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410	45	17.8%8 W · 37 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc21e…e6d3backed Yes	24c	1,315$317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.69	144	27.1%39 W · 105 L	-2.4wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6268…6031backed Yes	17c	1,296$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.18	55	16.4%9 W · 46 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	16c	1,265$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.54	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b57…71d6backed Yes	1c	1,261$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	20	0%0 W · 20 L	-1.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26dc…e03abacked Yes	19c	1,227$239 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.87	202	22.8%46 W · 156 L	+2.4wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x338d…6fd4backed Yes	4c	1,221$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8fb…af41backed Yes	9c	1,191$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	68	39.7%27 W · 41 L	+4.7wins	+0.07per pick	33cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x265f…a448backed Yes	22c	1,150$258 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.5	285	34.4%98 W · 187 L	+9.1wins	+0.03per pick	31cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	10c	1,136$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.25	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ee9…7d37backed Yes	14c	1,090$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149	109	24.8%27 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+38.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd93…a22bbacked Yes	21c	1,072$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$223.2	198	19.7%39 W · 159 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8575…87febacked No	75c	1,052$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$259.38	89	60.7%54 W · 35 L	+4.0wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x65a2…1f2abacked Yes	17c	1,050$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.5wins	+0.18per pick	15cpaid	+57.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	36c	1,050$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$378.96	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa980…583ebacked Yes	13c	1,004$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.17	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.11per pick	26cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x36e7…46e6backed No	75c	1,000$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$250	4	75%3 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	77cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	16c	1,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41d0…e9f5backed Yes	15c	991.6$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.22	33	3%1 W · 32 L	-1.5wins	-0.04per pick	7cpaid	-87.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e78…c340backed Yes	9c	981.6$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$89.94	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x056d…3b69backed Yes	13c	974.01$123 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.8	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe178…0c26backed Yes	27c	949.09$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.87	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	23c	948.99$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.44	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	25c	934.19$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.65	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8a6…87bebacked Yes	4c	919.99$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	37	5.4%2 W · 35 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+21.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	910.6$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.97	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event