Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc2449ca05c83185e6adae01a02c1cdfc6dd7cfca8be041cc28ff53be477206c1

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 5, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $441,212
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $253,769

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $441,212 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	0c	50,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	2c	21,733$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.1	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f2…1762backed Yes	1c	13,024$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.24	88	12.5%11 W · 77 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-65.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	2c	10,504$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.64	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	0c	10,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	9,271$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.92	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	3c	8,235$209 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.75	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b63…bdd3backed Yes	1c	6,888$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c6c…1f86backed Yes	0c	6,629$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.82	45	24.4%11 W · 34 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	24cpaid	-34.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	6,367$144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.52	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	1c	6,254$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.78	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	5,660$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.75	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	2c	5,570$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.33	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes	2c	5,466$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$129.46	111	6.3%7 W · 104 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+53.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	0c	5,419$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	1c	5,291$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.63	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	2c	5,277$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.45	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	2c	5,202$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.1	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d7…2ffbbacked Yes	1c	5,175$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	41	14.6%6 W · 35 L	+2.3wins	+0.06per pick	9cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	4,855$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.83	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	4,371$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.3	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xddd8…e6f7backed Yes	1c	4,030$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.39	72	16.7%12 W · 60 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-69.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	1c	4,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1d5…ee5cbacked Yes	1c	3,454$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	26cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	2c	3,412$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.34	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	3,226$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.88	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	2c	3,067$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.93	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcfae…9dedbacked Yes	2c	2,724$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.29	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-78.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	5c	2,540$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134.05	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	1c	2,400$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.95	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	1c	2,298$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.98	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	2,250$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.95	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	1c	2,241$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.51	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8e…afc1backed Yes	4c	2,234$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.17	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	3cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	3c	2,182$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	6c	2,137$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.15	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbe31…b42dbacked Yes	3c	2,077$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.53	85	30.6%26 W · 59 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	2c	2,060$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaacb…90cbbacked Yes	1c	2,014$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.04	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d7…59c1backed Yes	4c	2,000$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79	89	22.5%20 W · 69 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc831…0111backed Yes	1c	2,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	32	21.9%7 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x22b8…4132backed Yes	3c	1,930$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	48	12.5%6 W · 42 L	-2.9wins	-0.06per pick	19cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f67…2fd3backed Yes	1c	1,835$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.48	60	3.3%2 W · 58 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	3c	1,760$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	3c	1,727$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.99	691	5.5%38 W · 653 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf4…3b45backed Yes	1c	1,700$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	317	43.2%137 W · 180 L	+28.2wins	+0.09per pick	34cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x63c4…f595backed Yes	1c	1,699$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	77	10.4%8 W · 69 L	+3.1wins	+0.04per pick	6cpaid	+56.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98aa…8b8fbacked Yes	1c	1,508$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.56	94	16%15 W · 79 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	1c	1,476$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.25	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	3c	1,444$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.74	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	1,425$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.29	2,163	3.9%85 W · 2,078 L	+5.8wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	2c	1,284$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.11	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,142$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.65	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	1c	1,071$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a77…f859backed Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	153	12.4%19 W · 134 L	+5.7wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	1c	1,000$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfdaa…fec8backed Yes	1c	1,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	55	29.1%16 W · 39 L	+2.2wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	2c	999.99$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x879d…b501backed Yes	2c	990.56$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.5	93	15.1%14 W · 79 L	+5.1wins	+0.06per pick	10cpaid	+38.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57bc…c211backed Yes	3c	951.29$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77d5…eacebacked Yes	2c	871.12$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	100	8%8 W · 92 L	+3.2wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	6c	839.69$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.88	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x314d…65bfbacked Yes	3c	839.13$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	320	15%48 W · 272 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	3c	818.76$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.16	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x61b4…47b2backed Yes	1c	804.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	7c	800$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06de…cf4cbacked Yes	2c	774.86$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.45	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4978…956bbacked Yes	2c	734.95$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	479	8.6%41 W · 438 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	5c	600.31$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.62	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x582c…eb16backed Yes	5c	512.52$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.23	116	13.8%16 W · 100 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	15cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	4c	500.35$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	7c	476.2$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.33	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x04fa…1ff3backed Yes	2c	476.19$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	52	21.2%11 W · 41 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Yes	4c	392.54$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.9wins	+0.45per pick	5cpaid	+747.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	4c	356.78$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.75	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9916…8088backed Yes	12c	343$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.23	33	24.2%8 W · 25 L	-1.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	5c	338.62$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.49	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ced…2c7ebacked Yes	9c	333.33$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	96	14.6%14 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ed8…2e77backed Yes	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	34	20.6%7 W · 27 L	-2.3wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	5c	310$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.88	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	5c	263.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.38	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	252$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.03	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4597…403fbacked Yes	6c	200$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-76.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	14c	182$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.66	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93c4…7599backed Yes	6c	180.95$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	230	17%39 W · 191 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa15c…2c27backed Yes	13c	160$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.31	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f0…469cbacked Yes	16c	125$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	31	22.6%7 W · 24 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	+10.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e10…a68abacked Yes	9c	116.83$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	11cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	14c	100$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ea…02edbacked Yes	15c	100$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	135	11.9%16 W · 119 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+37.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

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