Fifa International · resolved market
Czechia leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x33637aafd56204917a8b74a6e1bacab142db085a4528ea3c91c313f8e766c15d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $104,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $100,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Yes | 17c | 20,511$3,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,486.82 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 15c | 14,247$2,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,108.03 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 18c | 7,297$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,334.99 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 11c | 4,284$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.29 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf48…36c2backed No | 80c | 3,660$2,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 3,347$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.87 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Yes | 19c | 3,245$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.64 | 234 | 40.2%94 W · 140 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda2b…85febacked Yes | 21c | 1,775$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.71 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 14c | 1,425$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.93 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Yes | 18c | 1,028$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Yes | 17c | 928.96$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.63 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 20c | 794.5$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.9 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 13c | 506.89$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes | 18c | 499.98$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 454 | 21.4%97 W · 357 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Yes | 17c | 488.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…8c57backed Yes | 18c | 323.44$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.22 | 35 | 17.1%6 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 79c | 315.99$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 315.55$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.31 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 19c | 283.14$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb012…0136backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -6.2wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c12…748fbacked Yes | 19c | 248.88$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.29 | 324 | 22.5%73 W · 251 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…068fbacked Yes | 7c | 228.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed Yes | 17c | 178.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 19c | 155.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 343 | 30%103 W · 240 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 149.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf887…db68backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 122 | 37.7%46 W · 76 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Yes | 20c | 140$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6435…e868backed Yes | 22c | 136$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 200 | 14.5%29 W · 171 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26cb…afc9backed Yes | 13c | 131.14$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Yes | 16c | 117.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 45cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9516…0bcbbacked Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 562 | 40.6%228 W · 334 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…266dbacked Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 256 | 55.1%141 W · 115 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…7976backed Yes | 16c | 90.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 235 | 28.1%66 W · 169 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 18c | 85.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 14c | 80.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…6e60backed Yes | 17c | 64.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 241 | 32.8%79 W · 162 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 21c | 61.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9de7…73a5backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 79c | 26.31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Czechia leading at halftime?this page
- Czechia vs. Mexico: Draw at halftime?Yes won
- Mexico leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.