TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Mexico leading at halftime?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$170,651
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$167,541

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $170,651 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc1da…fefabacked No59c61,207$36,366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,841.264143.9%18 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes40c44,752$18,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,098.322,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No70c22,746$15,943 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,802.774,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes40c13,216$5,227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,2278,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes35c12,683$4,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.112,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0852…655cbacked Yes29c6,804$1,968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,968.0153629.9%160 W · 376 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Yes37c6,000$2,220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,219.894355.8%24 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes38c5,579$2,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,108.011,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85bb…9adabacked Yes41c4,829$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00032429.9%97 W · 227 L+10.4wins+0.03per pick27cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e6…d471backed No60c3,389$2,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,345.764456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,23011343.4%49 W · 64 L-8.1wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes10c2,944$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3352522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cf6…0cbdbacked No63c2,800$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03613543%58 W · 77 L-8.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes41c1,400$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57441429%120 W · 294 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+12%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Yes31c1,370$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$424.759440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes25c1,367$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.014,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No61c1,243$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.512,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes26c1,158$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.7562633.9%212 W · 414 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-37.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No62c1,090$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.94,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Yes39c1,024$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.4553448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa487…9439backed No60c934.78$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.916640.9%27 W · 39 L-8.4wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-13.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed No67c670.01$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.1520547.3%97 W · 108 L-0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No59c630.42$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.242,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb213…49e1backed Yes23c627.34$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.584443.2%19 W · 25 L-4.3wins-0.10per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No58c623.52$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.982,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Yes20c606.36$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.2131156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No63c590.71$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.471,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No59c577.34$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.681554.8%447 W · 368 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-5.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked No62c497.85$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.221,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked No62c493.28$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.4570648.2%340 W · 366 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No59c423$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.432,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No59c422.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.913,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a8f…56e5backed Yes41c365.85$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506530.8%20 W · 45 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Yes17c349.83$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.612,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Yes28c342.91$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.021,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x640b…d920backed Yes21c339.39$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.3419027.9%53 W · 137 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-27.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1056…3c9dbacked Yes41c322.83$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.3645445.4%206 W · 248 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cb8…76b4backed No63c317.46$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.461376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.15per pick62cpaid+24%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No64c298.64$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.964850.6%328 W · 320 L-13.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No62c288$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.2634330%103 W · 240 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4372…6a96backed Yes41c288$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.0826921.6%58 W · 211 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae1…1e7ebacked Yes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022846.9%107 W · 121 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6403…0318backed Yes42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-49.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes33c224.96$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9987938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed No62c200.42$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.161,00544.3%445 W · 560 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed No63c200$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7411445.6%52 W · 62 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked No56c183.27$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.641,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2576…d613backed No62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.48251.2%42 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x72e8…66aebacked No62c180$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.45747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2db…31cabacked Yes30c175$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.56936.2%25 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No69c171.33$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.922,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dff…6743backed No69c160.29$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2934646%159 W · 187 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked No60c154.32$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Yes33c149.72$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4112542.4%53 W · 72 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x354b…1d84backed Yes42c143.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.11030%3 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Yes15c139.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.2535034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed No63c138.67$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.311,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e34…9434backed Yes33c135.36$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.673756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes40c125$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019742.1%83 W · 114 L-11.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0fc0…a921backed Yes41c121.95$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016542.4%70 W · 95 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…17c5backed No62c120.97$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.9733438.6%129 W · 205 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc04…ddbfbacked Yes42c107.14$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-19.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x561e…c991backed Yes29c103.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010938.5%42 W · 67 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No59c102.44$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4246047.2%217 W · 243 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8a9…2948backed No59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4126042.3%110 W · 150 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5933…ecb7backed Yes36c83.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013035.4%46 W · 84 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfaea…95a9backed Yes41c80.49$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3321022.4%47 W · 163 L-7.3wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed No61c78.69$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6913941%57 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No57c74.61$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.962,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11f0…a094backed Yes42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Yes29c71.15$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6323558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No59c68.38$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.041,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e8f…6e47backed Yes37c67.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2515042%63 W · 87 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf552…4263backed No65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.541540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e7f…2015backed No66c58.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5702…c452backed Yes36c55.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a13…588fbacked Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207948.1%38 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Yes38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes41c51.95$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.39233.7%31 W · 61 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d70…9d4cbacked Yes33c50.62$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72445.8%11 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-23.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcba…2398backed Yes41c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2550950.7%258 W · 251 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6dfb…f1b7backed No64c48.97$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.8678234.3%268 W · 514 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b89…87babacked Yes41c48.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010342.7%44 W · 59 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d0…566ebacked No60c48.33$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.333426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick39cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Yes38c45$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.912,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked No74c42.5$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.052,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes37c40.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-57.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x436d…dadebacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1017460.3%105 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Yes41c40$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.41,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f15…a670backed No63c38.74$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.5119069.5%132 W · 58 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed No63c37.87$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x203b…9dfdbacked Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4b1…eb43backed Yes41c36.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155151%26 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c15…9a45backed Yes40c31.74$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5936350.1%182 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fe6…d820backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No64c31.22$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.171,04529.3%306 W · 739 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick30cpaid+3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Yes41c29.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0823443.6%102 W · 132 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2763…abe6backed Yes37c28.92$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.711331.9%36 W · 77 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…448ebacked No65c21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3511256.3%63 W · 49 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1748…5e9ebacked No64c21$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.567251.4%37 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-13.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.