MLB · resolved market
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6e94ddcd4d224efed24a6394cc731ebd56d3c3ed0d36473f50720d318dbd44f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Doosan Bearsof Doosan Bears, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,809
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1621…572cbacked Doosan Bears | 59c | 1,299$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.97 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Lotte Giants | 39c | 531.73$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.05 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Lotte Giants | 23c | 465.08$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Lotte Giants | 42c | 449.9$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.96 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lotte Giants | 42c | 445.21$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 361.66$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.28 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 262.01$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.25 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 222.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3354…5042backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 171.58$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.18 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Doosan Bears | 59c | 163.87$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.19 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Doosan Bears | 55c | 150.51$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.73 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -6.2wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 126.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.75 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 107.44$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.35 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d58…938ebacked Lotte Giants | 17c | 103.32$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a2f…b4b4backed Lotte Giants | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x432e…cc4fbacked Lotte Giants | 45c | 78.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 77.98$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x165b…711cbacked Doosan Bears | 54c | 72.86$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.37 | 171 | 50.9%87 W · 84 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 61.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 61.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 61.17$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lotte Giants | 34c | 54.93$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 50.75$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 44c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Doosan Bears | 56c | 49.99$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.99 | 90 | 43.3%39 W · 51 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lotte Giants | 51c | 46.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 280 | 45.7%128 W · 152 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Doosan Bears | 57c | 45.91$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Doosan Bears | 60c | 41.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Lotte Giants | 41c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc45a…5a3ebacked Lotte Giants | 43c | 33.69$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe697…708fbacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf654…0959backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 33.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a04…8305backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 33.48$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaebb…4c67backed Lotte Giants | 45c | 32.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.51 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -7.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcbab…4e57backed Lotte Giants | 44c | 30.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 28.31$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.83 | 185 | 53.5%99 W · 86 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Doosan Bears | 66c | 20.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Doosan Bears | 77c | 19.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.53 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a4…d8b4backed Doosan Bears | 58c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Doosan Bears | 58c | 18.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.