MLB · resolved market
KBO: Kiwoom Heroes vs. Lotte Giants
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9147775080332a475773a61aca5e7dcd40732faa4abc11da2db76d7d3b0ae2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lotte Giantsof Kiwoom Heroes, Lotte Giants
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,389
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,389 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lotte Giants | 62c | 757.51$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.17 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…bb62backed Kiwoom Heroes | 53c | 733.88$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.71 | 165 | 43%71 W · 94 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Lotte Giants | 47c | 730.14$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.97 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 599.95$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.97 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Lotte Giants | 41c | 505.09$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.7 | 591 | 50.3%297 W · 294 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 59c | 479.19$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.72 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 296.76$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.35 | 119 | 61.3%73 W · 46 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lotte Giants | 7c | 281.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.61 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 172.03$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 162.48$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 416 | 43.8%182 W · 234 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 158.27$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.72 | 1,168 | 49%572 W · 596 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…fef1backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 141.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 121.15$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 117.66$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.19 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Lotte Giants | 9c | 108.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57e5…e51ebacked Lotte Giants | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 228 | 48.2%110 W · 118 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Lotte Giants | 49c | 96.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.44 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 63.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.92 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 56.03$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 37c | 54.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 152 | 43.4%66 W · 86 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Kiwoom Heroes | 52c | 51.01$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 44c | 51$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f5…bb11backed Lotte Giants | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 559 | 53.1%297 W · 262 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lotte Giants | 47c | 49.73$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 2,261 | 45.4%1,026 W · 1,235 L | +57.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Kiwoom Heroes | 34c | 40.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 351 | 37%130 W · 221 L | -17.7wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Kiwoom Heroes | 41c | 38.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c7…c6bdbacked Kiwoom Heroes | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Kiwoom Heroes | 63c | 25.43$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.09 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Lotte Giants | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.54 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Lotte Giants | 48c | 20.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Lotte Giants | 66c | 15.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.28 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.