Fifa International · resolved market
Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe820f56e0296450ff5b50320c5bd4ac08c6d9284a857dc29ae9a080186d935b0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,804
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $185,968
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,804 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 26,900$9,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,456.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 47c | 16,760$7,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,928.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 80c | 13,573$10,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 52c | 10,156$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,281.27 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 23c | 7,780$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 46c | 6,522$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,521.74 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f98…c81abacked Yes | 48c | 5,789$2,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,010.6 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18b8…c368backed Yes | 47c | 4,830$2,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,559.79 | 177 | 33.9%60 W · 117 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 54c | 4,604$2,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,472.94 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Yes | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,079.92 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +9.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 72c | 2,477$1,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$701.21 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70c9…caf5backed Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 53c | 1,996$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.22 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x355f…1847backed Yes | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.08 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7a…29f6backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 53c | 1,600$848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848 | 378 | 50.5%191 W · 187 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 48c | 1,562$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.46 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed No | 53c | 1,557$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 112 | 56.3%63 W · 49 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 53c | 1,400$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2217…1660backed Yes | 72c | 1,281$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.4 | 635 | 44.4%282 W · 353 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked No | 40c | 1,060$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.32 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 54c | 1,056$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.6 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…5cb0backed Yes | 54c | 999.99$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 255 | 37.6%96 W · 159 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…57ecbacked Yes | 48c | 946.81$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.81 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked Yes | 47c | 914.89$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.89 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 12c | 909.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.53 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…88dfbacked Yes | 79c | 873.77$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.49 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 73c | 728.03$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 53c | 694.11$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.28 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bc…4aadbacked Yes | 63c | 661.08$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.6 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…fa68backed No | 7c | 643.76$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.47 | 172 | 23.3%40 W · 132 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 19cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb8…067cbacked No | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 471$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.56 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 54c | 470.98$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.89 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb56d…8041backed Yes | 65c | 462.39$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.39 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 46c | 441.26$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.28 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c9…7debbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 53c | 419.99$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.59 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf78c…e12cbacked Yes | 47c | 408.51$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…e297backed No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 354 | 51.4%182 W · 172 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 53c | 377.18$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.43 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4520…9182backed Yes | 56c | 357.7$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.7 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 53c | 339.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffd…d98bbacked Yes | 47c | 319.15$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.15 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 53c | 312$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.36 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…d10abacked Yes | 47c | 310.64$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…67fdbacked No | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 320 | 46.6%149 W · 171 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 54c | 269.4$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.98 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x484a…316abacked Yes | 46c | 256.52$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.52 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x530f…424ebacked No | 40c | 218.65$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c67…a0e0backed Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 165 | 37.6%62 W · 103 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 54c | 210.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.64 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 54c | 209.2$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 9c | 208.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 48c | 208$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed Yes | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e43…2578backed Yes | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 399 | 56.6%226 W · 173 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…9738backed Yes | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 41c | 194.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.3 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe846…39c3backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed No | 54c | 176.42$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.27 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 55c | 172.36$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.72 | 597 | 52.1%311 W · 286 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…3ea1backed No | 53c | 166.51$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.25 | 617 | 52%321 W · 296 L | -13.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…88f0backed No | 54c | 161.56$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.24 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Yes | 45c | 150$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 1,206 | 50.2%606 W · 600 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa135…68b8backed No | 55c | 149.22$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.07 | 322 | 45.3%146 W · 176 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed3…0a22backed No | 53c | 149.08$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.01 | 370 | 51.4%190 W · 180 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…98a9backed Yes | 46c | 148.3$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.08 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb3…ea01backed Yes | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 52c | 136.43$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 47c | 120.38$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.38 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 41c | 113.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Yes | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +10.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2854…927cbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 81 | 61.7%50 W · 31 L | +8.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…17c5backed No | 49c | 102$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.98 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | -17.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…5551backed Yes | 48c | 101.52$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.79 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 1,204 | 48.9%589 W · 615 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b42…dc6dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 112 | 33.9%38 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd26…d405backed Yes | 78c | 96.38$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 16c | 95.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 47c | 95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 363 | 35.8%130 W · 233 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 27c | 88$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 46c | 86.96$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 53c | 84.83$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.96 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…b468backed Yes | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781e…ba44backed Yes | 66c | 82.64$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +109.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked No | 53c | 81.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.49 | 348 | 44.3%154 W · 194 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dff…6743backed No | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 346 | 46%159 W · 187 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes | 72c | 78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.97 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 14c | 73.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfba…583cbacked Yes | 52c | 72.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.99 | 927 | 32.1%298 W · 629 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 46c | 67.39$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.39 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd91e…a433backed Yes | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 167 | 39.5%66 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?this page
- Canada leading at halftime?No won
- Switzerland leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.