Fifa International · resolved market
Canada leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf3a0b87ee1b2220547f0c0c3f51fdf028950be68f3b206c24212cab3390abd2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,229
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $81,637
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,229 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 13,246$3,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,203.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 10,124$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.28 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 24c | 6,673$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.63 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Yes | 24c | 4,167$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 76c | 2,660$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$642.32 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 24c | 2,104$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.05 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b62…5cc8backed No | 76c | 2,000$1,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Yes | 14c | 1,931$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.2 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 462 | 23.2%107 W · 355 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,194$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.08 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 76c | 1,192$906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.02 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e39…352cbacked No | 76c | 999.99$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 644 | 43.3%279 W · 365 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 75c | 825.57$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.39 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 8c | 632.66$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 1,686 | 20.6%347 W · 1,339 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 24c | 600$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1db2…dacabacked Yes | 19c | 600$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 193 | 24.9%48 W · 145 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed No | 75c | 485.33$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…32afbacked Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 26.8%34 W · 93 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 410.2$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 1,945 | 42.7%831 W · 1,114 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4c…dbabbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…ed52backed Yes | 25c | 399.6$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 41 | 17.1%7 W · 34 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 328$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.72 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1d…d2afbacked Yes | 8c | 312.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 76c | 292.35$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…ee54backed Yes | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 75c | 239.99$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeaec…32a1backed Yes | 24c | 239.98$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 294 | 30.3%89 W · 205 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0840…f4d9backed Yes | 8c | 235.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 23c | 202.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.93 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 815 | 54.8%447 W · 368 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 76c | 200$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 189 | 29.1%55 W · 134 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80cd…0558backed Yes | 25c | 198.77$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 93 | 18.3%17 W · 76 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f7…a3fdbacked Yes | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -5.3wins | -0.28per pick | 38cpaid | -83.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…95a9backed Yes | 24c | 120.83$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 210 | 22.4%47 W · 163 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 15c | 111.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 483 | 28%135 W · 348 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Yes | 23c | 108.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f48…0e01backed Yes | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 151 | 30.5%46 W · 105 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 572 | 52.4%300 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…78a1backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08b3…48a9backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa494…4a1fbacked No | 75c | 99.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 80c | 95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…ec59backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed No | 77c | 80.81$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 489 | 37%181 W · 308 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 76c | 80$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a4…3727backed Yes | 17c | 80$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72e8…66aebacked No | 76c | 79.96$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…c63ebacked Yes | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86aa…c80fbacked No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…ceedbacked Yes | 25c | 65.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8e…22ebbacked Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 77c | 59.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.91 | 1,492 | 41%612 W · 880 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 25c | 57.95$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.34 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d1…dc9fbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 146 | 25.3%37 W · 109 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…2896backed Yes | 25c | 55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 182 | 31.9%58 W · 124 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 76c | 45$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.93 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d7…f41abacked No | 77c | 43.3$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.96 | 257 | 48.6%125 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b2a…65b3backed Yes | 24c | 42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 823 | 48.8%402 W · 421 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed No | 76c | 36.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 697 | 44.9%313 W · 384 L | +18.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f64…3633backed No | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 62 | 64.5%40 W · 22 L | +8.2wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…a23dbacked No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x883e…a8c5backed No | 76c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x410e…1209backed No | 77c | 20.2$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -9.4wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a08…64a7backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…8a16backed No | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 51 | 70.6%36 W · 15 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa39d…a88bbacked No | 76c | 19.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked No | 76c | 18.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 785 | 59.7%469 W · 316 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked No | 75c | 17.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 1,045 | 29.3%306 W · 739 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…a686backed No | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 184 | 73.4%135 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a7…8150backed No | 75c | 13.77$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.44 | 56 | 82.1%46 W · 10 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 74cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7db…6688backed No | 75c | 13.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.4 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canada leading at halftime?this page
- Switzerland leading at halftime?No won
- Switzerland vs. Canada: Draw at halftime?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.