Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xea9f4e885d7ac554c21d8687e3458b91c24d08be9d560b45f48afca589cf534f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,394
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,534
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,394 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c3a…020bbacked No | 74c | 10,283$7,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,673.49 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 7,884$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,039.47 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 0c | 7,841$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Yes | 31c | 6,290$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.55 | 61 | 19.7%12 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Yes | 28c | 6,070$1,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.26 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x019a…f457backed Yes | 1c | 3,811$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8a…f0b8backed Yes | 29c | 3,301$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -3.5wins | -0.27per pick | 50cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 25c | 2,901$725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.26 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 26c | 2,867$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +59.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed No | 72c | 2,559$1,853 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.12 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 26c | 2,367$623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.19 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcddb…0d22backed No | 75c | 2,275$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.94 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked No | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…8794backed Yes | 3c | 1,500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed No | 73c | 1,500$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 65 | 58.5%38 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Yes | 26c | 1,475$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.91 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,225$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.09 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Yes | 26c | 1,103$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Yes | 16c | 1,063$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.21 | 56 | 21.4%12 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -57%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Yes | 28c | 1,059$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.42 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,033$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.66 | 783 | 44.8%351 W · 432 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd604…cb5fbacked No | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 27c | 988.07$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab7…d03cbacked Yes | 28c | 971.79$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.78 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 957.95$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.59 | 200 | 50%100 W · 100 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb4e…6081backed Yes | 29c | 923.17$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Yes | 26c | 918.85$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 76c | 904.94$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.35 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 72c | 897$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.56 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa79…f645backed Yes | 27c | 876.89$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.09 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 72c | 868.69$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.11 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 74c | 850$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74a9…0dc7backed Yes | 29c | 837.25$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.29 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Yes | 4c | 720.48$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3797…7bd5backed Yes | 26c | 707.18$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.87 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 72c | 691.94$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.74 | 555 | 45.8%254 W · 301 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 76c | 684.45$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54f0…7a91backed Yes | 28c | 683.43$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.36 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c29…87dcbacked Yes | 28c | 580.91$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.66 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Yes | 26c | 573.36$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a1…6aefbacked Yes | 26c | 430.02$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.81 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 40cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Yes | 29c | 430.02$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.62 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d33…4af5backed Yes | 29c | 423.6$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 73c | 422.93$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.91 | 741 | 55.9%414 W · 327 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 72c | 419.83$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.97 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 28c | 406.64$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.86 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Yes | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…9476backed Yes | 26c | 367.5$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4791…07f8backed Yes | 27c | 354.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.62 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +95.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 74c | 352.52$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.66 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe194…5deabacked Yes | 28c | 341.71$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.68 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2911…2a0dbacked Yes | 26c | 338.73$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked No | 72c | 338.67$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.42 | 29 | 86.2%25 W · 4 L | +6.3wins | +0.22per pick | 64cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked Yes | 18c | 321.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe702…d88cbacked Yes | 29c | 320.88$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.06 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 30cpaid | +109.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf74…d8bcbacked Yes | 32c | 299.96$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes | 28c | 246.03$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 118 | 33.9%40 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fc…55ccbacked Yes | 32c | 245.88$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.68 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 17c | 245.01$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61a1…6657backed No | 75c | 240.82$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.21 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 73cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0012…bff8backed Yes | 26c | 220.52$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8837…4cf5backed Yes | 10c | 219.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.42 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 19cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 32c | 216.69$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed Yes | 12c | 212.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…12cebacked Yes | 31c | 209.95$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Yes | 28c | 205.03$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -73%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked No | 68c | 200$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf61…4d44backed Yes | 29c | 198.08$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.44 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 71c | 180$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.2 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 179.68$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…82c8backed Yes | 7c | 174.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +829%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23ff…94f0backed Yes | 28c | 172.5$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaae…baeebacked Yes | 32c | 167.86$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9359…6aacbacked Yes | 30c | 162.86$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 27c | 159.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 145 | 52.4%76 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 27c | 159.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.09 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -8.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 27c | 158.74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.03 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 73c | 149.51$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.37 | 49 | 65.3%32 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ba…56c1backed Yes | 14c | 140.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…0553backed No | 75c | 138.72$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 26c | 128.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.45 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed No | 72c | 127.13$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 73c | 120$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb5…a518backed No | 73c | 117.56$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf30d…a622backed Yes | 10c | 115.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 72c | 114$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.11 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x763e…78a0backed Yes | 17c | 111.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 72c | 111.41$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 234 | 61.5%144 W · 90 L | +26.7wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…5445backed No | 74c | 103.9$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 27c | 103.5$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.28 | 117 | 49.6%58 W · 59 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Yes | 32c | 99.06$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.30per pick | 30cpaid | +141.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcd…f84fbacked Yes | 29c | 99.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 72c | 98.32$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.53 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9836…5765backed Yes | 27c | 95.62$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.82 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb61…8687backed Yes | 26c | 95.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Yes | 26c | 92.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c0…2489backed No | 73c | 91.6$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-04-16?this page
- Will AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No won
- Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.