Fifa International · resolved market
New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x810d5c7296516359a5c14a2bed95575e482cf11f35e06da6b5b4a13003d05c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $64,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,517
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 20,201$15,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,092.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d0e…d06abacked Yes | 28c | 11,000$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.92 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 23c | 8,274$1,877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876.62 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…4781backed Yes | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.99 | 525 | 22.5%118 W · 407 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 18c | 4,993$893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.15 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 5c | 4,170$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 29c | 3,091$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.27 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 74c | 2,087$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$544.06 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 75c | 1,686$1,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.4 | 362 | 50.8%184 W · 178 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 25c | 1,408$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.21 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9356…e52bbacked No | 72c | 1,393$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.97 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Yes | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c4…7c65backed No | 72c | 1,038$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.64 | 241 | 48.1%116 W · 125 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ec…267dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,018$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.33 | 278 | 45.7%127 W · 151 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Yes | 30c | 833.33$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3388…61d7backed No | 73c | 600$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 390 | 50.8%198 W · 192 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x288a…0048backed No | 74c | 600$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 384 | 51.6%198 W · 186 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes | 27c | 599.99$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 706 | 48.2%340 W · 366 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Yes | 23c | 524.87$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.88 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed Yes | 29c | 517.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…d584backed No | 74c | 503.69$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.89 | 383 | 51.4%197 W · 186 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec57…0fa7backed Yes | 3c | 498.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 388 | 19.1%74 W · 314 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 24c | 484.64$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.22 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 77c | 410.87$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6a…a7bfbacked No | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 353 | 52.7%186 W · 167 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8b…9e2dbacked No | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 399 | 51.4%205 W · 194 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed Yes | 26c | 360$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd883…714ebacked Yes | 28c | 357$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 71c | 352$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 20c | 329.45$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 31c | 317.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 93 | 28%26 W · 67 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 73c | 312.84$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.14 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f33…914ebacked Yes | 29c | 286.37$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.05 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…ac23backed Yes | 24c | 276.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.32 | 957 | 39.5%378 W · 579 L | -18.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 264$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.56 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a08…8f54backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 68c | 254$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 351 | 36.8%129 W · 222 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 68c | 252$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.12 | 340 | 35%119 W · 221 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed No | 72c | 218.32$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a58…b808backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 228 | 35.5%81 W · 147 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x532b…dd2dbacked No | 68c | 190$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed No | 72c | 176.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 30c | 166.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 77c | 162.52$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.38 | 648 | 50.6%328 W · 320 L | -13.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 76c | 161.42$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.63 | 460 | 47.2%217 W · 243 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e0…041bbacked No | 74c | 160$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 374 | 52.1%195 W · 179 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 72c | 132.02$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecc2…3eb6backed No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 74cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 14c | 129.23$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Yes | 27c | 119.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,616 | 51.2%827 W · 789 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7d…ec9cbacked Yes | 25c | 113$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 71c | 112.46$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 274 | 34.3%94 W · 180 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Yes | 33c | 90.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba6e…bc14backed No | 73c | 82.18$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ecc…030abacked Yes | 34c | 79.41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…da40backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed No | 72c | 73.63$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.62 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 68c | 63$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.16 | 339 | 37.5%127 W · 212 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd60f…5165backed No | 62c | 62.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8637…4ddebacked Yes | 29c | 62.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 45.6%135 W · 161 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed No | 73c | 60$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 459 | 49.5%227 W · 232 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked No | 76c | 52.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.63 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…78d8backed Yes | 39c | 51.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.97 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Yes | 27c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 2,231 | 49.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L | -21.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3211…bcf7backed No | 72c | 42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 369 | 53.9%199 W · 170 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 71c | 40.73$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bfd…29a4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Yes | 30c | 37.3$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 586 | 42.8%251 W · 335 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…10fcbacked No | 68c | 34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f15…a670backed No | 74c | 33.58$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 190 | 69.5%132 W · 58 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed No | 75c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9892…fd59backed No | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 462 | 43.5%201 W · 261 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3561…f1b7backed No | 69c | 27.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 950 | 37.5%356 W · 594 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed No | 71c | 23.24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.76 | 1,459 | 53.9%787 W · 672 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked No | 76c | 22.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.45 | 365 | 58.4%213 W · 152 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…5e9ebacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4941…b03cbacked No | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 101 | 66.3%67 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee02…ce88backed No | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad6…eed6backed No | 72c | 19.99$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 229 | 57.6%132 W · 97 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa140…5531backed No | 72c | 19.72$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 127 | 62.2%79 W · 48 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd51…ce69backed No | 70c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 233 | 55.4%129 W · 104 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2176…bc30backed No | 72c | 16.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 276 | 63%174 W · 102 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c47…fc6dbacked No | 70c | 15.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | +14.2wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe947…b01fbacked No | 76c | 15.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.72 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f04…2392backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 238 | 66.8%159 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?this page
- Belgium leading at halftime?Yes won
- New Zealand leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.