Fifa International · resolved market
Belgium leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe967b628156e7cc267dbe9c2e80363da99ed1c35a2b449e1c6acef4d8b80c437
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $331,480
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $345,352
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $331,480 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 243 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 72c | 83,976$60,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,303.35 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 32c | 44,991$14,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,252.97 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 32c | 43,628$13,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,928.17 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…b3b4backed No | 32c | 17,500$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.93 | 203 | 33.5%68 W · 135 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 34c | 16,248$5,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,542.24 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked No | 43c | 14,266$6,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,154.24 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 68c | 13,005$8,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,171.54 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 65c | 12,006$7,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,241.51 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed No | 4c | 11,151$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.79 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 10,676$7,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,301.22 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Yes | 65c | 9,459$6,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,319.62 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 33c | 8,880$2,930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,930.4 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 68c | 6,707$4,561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,146.24 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 32c | 6,660$2,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,131.14 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 68c | 6,479$4,403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,076.01 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Yes | 67c | 5,600$3,752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed No | 2c | 4,999$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 72c | 4,083$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc5…e563backed No | 5c | 3,200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 421 | 26.4%111 W · 310 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66c…cd67backed Yes | 68c | 3,118$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$997.85 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…d3e8backed Yes | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.99 | 151 | 27.8%42 W · 109 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 34c | 2,955$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.39 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…a196backed No | 3c | 2,633$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 460 | 12.4%57 W · 403 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed No | 37c | 2,371$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$888.1 | 695 | 34.8%242 W · 453 L | -48.8wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes | 77c | 2,223$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.08 | 585 | 30.9%181 W · 404 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 78c | 1,939$1,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.82 | 217 | 59%128 W · 89 L | +13.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Yes | 68c | 1,877$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.77 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Yes | 68c | 1,869$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.14 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36a7…b6e9backed No | 32c | 1,823$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.44 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 35c | 1,813$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.33 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Yes | 68c | 1,721$1,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.59 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked No | 10c | 1,700$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Yes | 68c | 1,684$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.9 | 617 | 50.6%312 W · 305 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed No | 7c | 1,485$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.77 | 222 | 26.6%59 W · 163 L | -15.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa9…09fabacked No | 27c | 1,473$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.52 | 229 | 32.8%75 W · 154 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…b09bbacked Yes | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.59 | 243 | 41.2%100 W · 143 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 6c | 1,426$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 187 | 38%71 W · 116 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf874…def4backed No | 7c | 1,358$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 74c | 1,322$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.72 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba1d…d326backed No | 4c | 1,250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 219 | 46.1%101 W · 118 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked No | 22c | 1,196$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.27 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,153$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.75 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf0…a1d3backed No | 33c | 1,087$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.71 | 210 | 44.3%93 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4efc…2d8dbacked No | 33c | 1,046$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.85 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c1…c1a4backed No | 35c | 1,008$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.78 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Yes | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 524 | 55%288 W · 236 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked Yes | 74c | 999.08$742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257 | 419 | 68.3%286 W · 133 L | +65.4wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbec0…9bddbacked Yes | 65c | 967.18$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 626 | 33.9%212 W · 414 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Yes | 68c | 857.18$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.3 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Yes | 63c | 800$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 92 | 66.3%61 W · 31 L | +13.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Yes | 68c | 798.53$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.53 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62bc…5053backed Yes | 65c | 749.99$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 201 | 49.3%99 W · 102 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 67c | 746.24$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.26 | 674 | 47.6%321 W · 353 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…d723backed Yes | 67c | 740$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.2 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc096…9e8dbacked Yes | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf4…ac20backed No | 22c | 678.14$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.59 | 345 | 33.6%116 W · 229 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa487…9439backed No | 37c | 663.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…421bbacked Yes | 68c | 650$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…32bdbacked Yes | 67c | 614.63$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked No | 37c | 540.54$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 42.8%80 W · 107 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 36c | 512$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.32 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb135…b9febacked No | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 242 | 33.5%81 W · 161 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e51…c6aabacked Yes | 68c | 499.99$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 123 | 41.5%51 W · 72 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 495.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 2,524 | 42.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 28c | 485.14$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.43 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed No | 25c | 472.32$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.08 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed40…5657backed Yes | 64c | 456.25$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.25 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f3d…2023backed Yes | 69c | 437.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.94 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Yes | 71c | 434.58$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.01 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…19bdbacked Yes | 68c | 422$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.04 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb2e…7821backed No | 32c | 420$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 1,421 | 47.8%679 W · 742 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked No | 5c | 407.98$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.07 | 536 | 29.9%160 W · 376 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1c…ca9dbacked Yes | 65c | 400.82$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.85 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +7.2wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked Yes | 68c | 399.36$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed No | 35c | 398.29$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.39 | 1,005 | 44.3%445 W · 560 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 62c | 397.37$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.57 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fc0…a921backed Yes | 65c | 383.02$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 165 | 42.4%70 W · 95 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9572…efffbacked Yes | 68c | 380$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.6 | 87 | 42.5%37 W · 50 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 70c | 378$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.02 | 888 | 52.7%468 W · 420 L | +13.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01ee…6ab0backed Yes | 61c | 370.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.34 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fdd…d385backed Yes | 71c | 367.7$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.91 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | -10.9wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…f7f3backed No | 5c | 366.66$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 15.1%13 W · 73 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b3…4a85backed Yes | 65c | 366$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.1 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Yes | 62c | 356$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.82 | 630 | 35.7%225 W · 405 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2576…d613backed No | 36c | 319.98$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.19 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x318d…e94cbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…e170backed Yes | 65c | 307.69$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.69 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes | 68c | 294.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.12 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 76c | 287.93$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.95 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dfb…f1b7backed No | 6c | 283.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 782 | 34.3%268 W · 514 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2e…34cbbacked Yes | 79c | 266.79$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.54 | 123 | 42.3%52 W · 71 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 33c | 260.99$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.92 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes | 68c | 260.96$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.51 | 428 | 53.3%228 W · 200 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 30c | 254$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.15 | 344 | 38.4%132 W · 212 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 30c | 245.06$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.87 | 361 | 39.1%141 W · 220 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x640b…d920backed Yes | 59c | 243.24$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 190 | 27.9%53 W · 137 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5e…502ebacked No | 32c | 230$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.6 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 60c | 228.83$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.93 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 224.7$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.79 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Belgium leading at halftime?this page
- New Zealand leading at halftime?No won
- New Zealand vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.