MLB · resolved market
Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa8071d2c7c11126613b2c18d18a65d7b051a5aff8a1fb983fc516109910536d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Minnesota Twinsof Cleveland Guardians, Minnesota Twins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $586,813
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $602,073
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $586,813 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 94,537$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,537.47 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 40,000$15,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,699.98 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Cleveland Guardians | 52c | 37,174$19,404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,404.12 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 30,409$13,988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,988.08 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 24,810$11,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,457.61 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 22,753$10,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,466.22 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 18,469$8,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,680.37 | 232 | 55.6%129 W · 103 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 14,674$7,777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,896.58 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Minnesota Twins | 55c | 10,085$5,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.85 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Cleveland Guardians | 66c | 10,000$6,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,607.57 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 9,939$5,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,919.91 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 9,612$5,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,517.62 | 776 | 47.4%368 W · 408 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 9,362$4,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,376.33 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Minnesota Twins | 76c | 7,880$5,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,891.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 7,409$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795.02 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Cleveland Guardians | 71c | 6,729$4,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,772.2 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cleveland Guardians | 57c | 6,639$3,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,770.99 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 6,277$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950.4 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 5,645$2,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,652.99 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 5,195$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,441.74 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 5,057$2,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,376.79 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 5,033$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,058.96 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 4,801$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059.12 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d16…212ebacked Minnesota Twins | 46c | 4,321$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.48 | 206 | 48.1%99 W · 107 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…10dabacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 4,294$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.18 | 199 | 50.3%100 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…0009backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 3,608$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460.18 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ec…ac5bbacked Minnesota Twins | 49c | 3,585$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeebd…ba30backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 3,338$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,916.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 3,274$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.88 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 2,898$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.76 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd568…a35abacked Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,858$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Minnesota Twins | 66c | 2,856$1,885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeac6…4ac7backed Cleveland Guardians | 42c | 2,856$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b5…4582backed Minnesota Twins | 43c | 2,790$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,597.5 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…76edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 2,523$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.02 | 212 | 42%89 W · 123 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,489$1,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194.71 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Cleveland Guardians | 80c | 2,275$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,816.37 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a90…7bf8backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 2,150$1,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,010.46 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Minnesota Twins | 62c | 2,064$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,965$933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$933.27 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,854$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.7 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 1,842$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$792 | 169 | 47.9%81 W · 88 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Cleveland Guardians | 33c | 1,800$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$591 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 1,767$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.24 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,740$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.4 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 1,712$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.01 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x168c…f24bbacked Minnesota Twins | 58c | 1,683$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.85 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,583$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.62 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 45c | 1,553$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.86 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x720e…17b0backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 1,504$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.57 | 64 | 67.2%43 W · 21 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 1,494$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.03 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 52c | 1,415$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.22 | 68 | 44.1%30 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,392$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.43 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Minnesota Twins | 54c | 1,370$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.2 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4309…03a6backed Minnesota Twins | 50c | 1,266$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Minnesota Twins | 74c | 1,208$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.01 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 1,178$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257 | 228 | 31.6%72 W · 156 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Minnesota Twins | 51c | 1,137$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.41 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…22edbacked Cleveland Guardians | 54c | 1,086$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.74 | 518 | 49.4%256 W · 262 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 1,058$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.69 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Cleveland Guardians | 38c | 1,048$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.7 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Cleveland Guardians | 48c | 1,037$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.75 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Cleveland Guardians | 37c | 1,000$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$371.73 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f0…fe05backed Cleveland Guardians | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.98 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b30…fb47backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 961.83$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.2 | 520 | 53.8%280 W · 240 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x816b…d69dbacked Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 956.86$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.45 | 117 | 59%69 W · 48 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 948.49$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.79 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Cleveland Guardians | 41c | 939.3$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.11 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 900.46$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.16 | 135 | 58.5%79 W · 56 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ad…b33bbacked Minnesota Twins | 61c | 890.16$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.28 | 119 | 69.7%83 W · 36 L | +18.2wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x00c4…e285backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 886.29$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.19 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Cleveland Guardians | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cleveland Guardians | 40c | 810.1$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.87 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd759…6d1abacked Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 759.25$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…d26ebacked Minnesota Twins | 40c | 750$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 140 | 52.9%74 W · 66 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9f…2cb8backed Cleveland Guardians | 43c | 746.51$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbe…1f4abacked Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 744.51$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Cleveland Guardians | 44c | 691.16$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.01 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff7…2e67backed Cleveland Guardians | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 637.07$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.42 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Minnesota Twins | 52c | 614.96$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.18 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cb…0000backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 599.36$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.47 | 486 | 60.5%294 W · 192 L | +40.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0954…012abacked Cleveland Guardians | 8c | 583.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,197 | 53.9%645 W · 552 L | +42.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Minnesota Twins | 59c | 565.24$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.75 | 140 | 50.7%71 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c6…bc1cbacked Minnesota Twins | 77c | 553.94$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.41 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Minnesota Twins | 53c | 552.52$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.33 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Minnesota Twins | 38c | 506.46$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Cleveland Guardians | 50c | 496.41$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Minnesota Twins | 63c | 495.24$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.28 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Cleveland Guardians | 22c | 489.95$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.28 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Minnesota Twins | 58c | 489.62$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.92 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Cleveland Guardians | 51c | 476.67$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 132 | 25%33 W · 99 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Minnesota Twins | 53c | 474.25$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.9 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twinsthis page
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 11.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 12.5Under won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5Over won
- Cleveland Guardians vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5)Minnesota Twins won
- Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)Cleveland Guardians won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.