TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$38,267
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,722

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,267 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays61c7,279$4,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,860.3310,97951.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L+139.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees31c6,562$2,058 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,058.2812,32846.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L-66.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked New York Yankees33c5,996$1,973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,973.058,19246.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L+38.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays67c3,359$2,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,108.154,51548.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L-46.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Yankees36c3,115$1,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.6911,51952.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L+213.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Tampa Bay Rays67c2,022$1,355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.281,87452%975 W · 899 L+51.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Yankees65c1,051$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.4646048.5%223 W · 237 L-12.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays62c1,000$620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3801,85544%817 W · 1,038 L-31.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays36c582.07$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.521,41449.5%700 W · 714 L-4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c499.27$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.581,94753.1%1,033 W · 914 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Tampa Bay Rays68c498.07$339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.3820456.9%116 W · 88 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Tampa Bay Rays68c404$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.717659.7%105 W · 71 L+12.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+13.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Tampa Bay Rays57c403.51$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5163943.3%277 W · 362 L+1.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Tampa Bay Rays37c324.32$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.3296349%472 W · 491 L-39.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x682a…c87dbacked New York Yankees64c313$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.323850%19 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4309…03a6backed Tampa Bay Rays60c300$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1202356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays76c291$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.671,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed New York Yankees63c232.22$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.35,47150.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L+21.8wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Tampa Bay Rays48c225$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11719542.6%83 W · 112 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Tampa Bay Rays68c177.06$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.6613255.3%73 W · 59 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Tampa Bay Rays45c166.6$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.75,14954.7%2,815 W · 2,334 L+231.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Tampa Bay Rays65c159.37$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.963,46051.2%1,773 W · 1,687 L+107.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked New York Yankees64c156.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011855.9%66 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fea…8f74backed New York Yankees33c154.98$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5888046.4%408 W · 472 L-22.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked New York Yankees33c154.38$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.7710154.5%55 W · 46 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed New York Yankees65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003145.2%14 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-21.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked New York Yankees65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021354.5%116 W · 97 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.855,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees33c149$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.971,93941.2%799 W · 1,140 L-30.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Tampa Bay Rays68c147$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0413545.2%61 W · 74 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Tampa Bay Rays26c146.76$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.611,04349%511 W · 532 L+3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked New York Yankees66c141.68$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.61,17643.8%515 W · 661 L-33.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed New York Yankees11c140$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.823435%82 W · 152 L-10.2wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees52c137$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.294,36847.4%2,070 W · 2,298 L-79.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees32c134$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.293,21951.2%1,649 W · 1,570 L+148.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Tampa Bay Rays68c129$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.285843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Yankees56c124.51$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.344,18750.2%2,102 W · 2,085 L+94.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays31c112.13$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.484,40544.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L+80.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c110.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2920156.2%113 W · 88 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked New York Yankees39c101.05$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.331,81949.3%896 W · 923 L-24.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c100.59$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1931354.6%171 W · 142 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3882636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays48c99.08$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.16,30548.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L+181.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Tampa Bay Rays54c97.59$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.794748.9%23 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees29c81$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.492,14950.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L+28.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees34c80$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.21,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe574…9b3abacked New York Yankees65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505156.9%29 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+7.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Tampa Bay Rays67c73$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+34.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked New York Yankees44c72.27$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.841236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8526…72aabacked Tampa Bay Rays54c71.93$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0939653%210 W · 186 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Tampa Bay Rays68c71$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.7226751.7%138 W · 129 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays66c70$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.81,84849.6%917 W · 931 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Tampa Bay Rays35c70$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.524644.7%110 W · 136 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Tampa Bay Rays68c69$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.089557.9%55 W · 40 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x786f…1dcdbacked Tampa Bay Rays77c68.73$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.015461.1%33 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+4.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Tampa Bay Rays68c66.34$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2312855.5%71 W · 57 L+7.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees63c65.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.183,50951%1,789 W · 1,720 L+53.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Tampa Bay Rays25c59.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.991,84343.6%804 W · 1,039 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Yankees38c54.28$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.695,81243.7%2,541 W · 3,271 L-188.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe897…0b3bbacked Tampa Bay Rays79c50.78$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.777661.8%47 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3603…22edbacked New York Yankees75c50$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.551849.4%256 W · 262 L+0.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays48c40$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.89,81946.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L+39.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x102f…2ffbbacked New York Yankees52c40$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed New York Yankees35c39.59$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1415048%72 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Tampa Bay Rays70c38.57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5713558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0977…53ccbacked Tampa Bay Rays67c38.01$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4829250.7%148 W · 144 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Tampa Bay Rays35c36.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6315349%75 W · 78 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees65c33$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.452,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed2d…faeebacked New York Yankees60c32.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.762250%11 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Tampa Bay Rays68c31.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.28660.5%52 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Tampa Bay Rays70c27$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1318347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Tampa Bay Rays68c20.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.478964%57 W · 32 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick56cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Tampa Bay Rays67c20.22$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.675853.4%31 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Tampa Bay Rays67c20.2$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed New York Yankees64c19.08$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2114546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8846854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees64c17$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8872154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed New York Yankees65c15.4$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.011,48163.5%940 W · 541 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.