TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tampa Bay Raysof New York Yankees, Tampa Bay Rays
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$355,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$351,801

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 382 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees16c61,826$9,724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,724.384,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Tampa Bay Rays55c21,326$11,729 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,596.581,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked New York Yankees44c19,612$8,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,662.662,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays79c19,149$15,209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,940.1411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed New York Yankees45c17,424$7,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,810.963,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa77…15a5backed Tampa Bay Rays60c16,667$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,666.6723255.6%129 W · 103 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays54c14,407$7,777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,630.231,66050.1%832 W · 828 L-22.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed New York Yankees48c12,500$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays76c12,048$9,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,933.1795045.2%429 W · 521 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked New York Yankees12c11,674$1,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4414,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Tampa Bay Rays56c10,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,40048952.8%258 W · 231 L+16.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked New York Yankees40c10,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00077053.9%415 W · 355 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed New York Yankees49c6,331$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.9926762.2%166 W · 101 L+43.9wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+58%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Tampa Bay Rays67c6,107$4,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,045.368,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed New York Yankees46c5,698$2,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6459848%47 W · 51 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Yankees44c5,366$2,361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,360.976,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c5,358$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,357.5216747.9%80 W · 87 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c5,226$2,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,474.511,51551.1%774 W · 741 L+7.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays63c4,041$2,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,506.441,49958.9%883 W · 616 L+75.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Tampa Bay Rays53c3,704$1,972 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,731.4219950.3%100 W · 99 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed New York Yankees16c3,019$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.352,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Tampa Bay Rays56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3201,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked New York Yankees47c2,851$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9475248.8%367 W · 385 L-1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed New York Yankees38c2,807$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.5210,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed New York Yankees45c2,309$1,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.922,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked New York Yankees45c2,174$978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$978.2648147%226 W · 255 L-31.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed New York Yankees52c2,081$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,077.511,07558.3%627 W · 448 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked New York Yankees11c2,066$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.3182636.6%302 W · 524 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Tampa Bay Rays54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9206844.1%30 W · 38 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays54c2,000$1,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$927.985,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed New York Yankees46c1,948$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.581,55548.9%761 W · 794 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Tampa Bay Rays74c1,921$1,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.561,60753.2%855 W · 752 L+74.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays56c1,786$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$785.7198149.9%490 W · 491 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed New York Yankees46c1,755$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.256,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x815f…1eefbacked New York Yankees60c1,687$1,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,012.1591252.4%478 W · 434 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed New York Yankees44c1,686$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.6285645.3%388 W · 468 L+18.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+36.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32e3…3a5cbacked Tampa Bay Rays40c1,670$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,001.992060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed New York Yankees20c1,555$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.5366050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays80c1,514$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.564,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3dc…f04bbacked New York Yankees48c1,500$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7205851.7%30 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x186f…641bbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c1,500$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7055446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Tampa Bay Rays56c1,473$825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.215152.9%27 W · 24 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Tampa Bay Rays55c1,432$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.2889153.5%477 W · 414 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed New York Yankees45c1,331$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.541,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked New York Yankees46c1,288$591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.722,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees20c1,263$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.2612,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays53c1,195$633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$561.652,36947.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L-11.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees13c1,148$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.921,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42ab…0d2dbacked Tampa Bay Rays56c1,132$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.1411255.4%62 W · 50 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe478…28eabacked Tampa Bay Rays54c1,111$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.116858.8%40 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x77ad…ba8abacked New York Yankees22c1,040$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.556415.6%10 W · 54 L-8.0wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-47.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xc5b1…e904backed New York Yankees47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47069351.9%360 W · 333 L+26.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked New York Yankees46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46029046.6%135 W · 155 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed New York Yankees47c984.98$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.641,40243.1%604 W · 798 L+4.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed New York Yankees39c980$382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382.21,79643.8%786 W · 1,010 L-33.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeef6…cd4cbacked New York Yankees45c909$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.0555653.4%297 W · 259 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed New York Yankees10c906.54$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.5521841.3%90 W · 128 L-0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed New York Yankees47c895.72$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.6251545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked New York Yankees45c824.48$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37516845.8%77 W · 91 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed New York Yankees46c800$368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36812448.4%60 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed Tampa Bay Rays53c771.38$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.5529449.7%146 W · 148 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed New York Yankees58c757.25$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4364,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked New York Yankees47c754.82$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.772,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed New York Yankees27c722.56$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.091,13742.6%484 W · 653 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked New York Yankees39c666.56$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.965,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed New York Yankees45c666.36$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.861,73349%849 W · 884 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked New York Yankees12c643.6$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.6358649.5%290 W · 296 L+0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays49c590.75$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.686,30348.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L+181.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Tampa Bay Rays56c536.83$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.2156253.2%299 W · 263 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed New York Yankees47c531$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.5737944.3%168 W · 211 L-17.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dae…125cbacked New York Yankees30c490$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.85145.1%23 W · 28 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda74…2dd7backed New York Yankees47c479.99$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.41,27743.1%550 W · 727 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Tampa Bay Rays56c446.43$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.4354455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcda3…36cfbacked New York Yankees47c440$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.81,31043.6%571 W · 739 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Tampa Bay Rays53c433.87$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.922,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays67c433.36$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.198,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed New York Yankees36c431.28$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.2392046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11ee…e6c6backed New York Yankees48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003762.2%23 W · 14 L+5.5wins+0.15per pick47cpaid+32%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked New York Yankees45c400$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18021057.6%121 W · 89 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18820455.4%113 W · 91 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked New York Yankees47c400$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18845748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58d5…8898backed New York Yankees47c380$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.61,20543%518 W · 687 L+4.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5aa4…e8e1backed New York Yankees13c364.54$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f76…dcc9backed New York Yankees15c355.09$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7785148.5%413 W · 438 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays39c352$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.724,03557.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L+72.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Tampa Bay Rays53c328.81$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.541,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed New York Yankees12c299$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.952,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked New York Yankees45c292.67$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.740447.8%193 W · 211 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98e1…3241backed Tampa Bay Rays37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.279644.8%43 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5142…0845backed New York Yankees47c263.79$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.656946.4%32 W · 37 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc92c…6f15backed Tampa Bay Rays53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.2827357.1%156 W · 117 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0e6…7358backed Tampa Bay Rays53c245.28$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.286553.8%35 W · 30 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+25%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x36bf…7398backed New York Yankees47c243$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.6165542.4%278 W · 377 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed New York Yankees16c241.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7797944.4%435 W · 544 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed New York Yankees45c241.18$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.531,37950.6%698 W · 681 L-2.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc998…f060backed New York Yankees48c235.71$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1129554.7%52 W · 43 L-0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed73…ee4cbacked New York Yankees46c228$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked New York Yankees45c222.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011855.9%66 W · 52 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed New York Yankees12c218$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4834639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a0…6623backed Tampa Bay Rays53c215$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.0539846.5%185 W · 213 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.