Tennis · resolved market
Newport: Mackenzie McDonald vs Adam Walton
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54643860828a80943812e89527be88dfe44789d666fe601b7d6d91a78f9c64d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Adam Waltonof Mackenzie McDonald, Adam Walton
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,731
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Mackenzie McDonald | 22c | 6,216$1,393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,393.23 | 3,726 | 42.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L | -48.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9461…6be0backed Adam Walton | 76c | 3,816$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.79 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 19c | 2,443$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.47 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Adam Walton | 76c | 1,316$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.79 | 949 | 68.1%646 W · 303 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Adam Walton | 76c | 1,278$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.47 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mackenzie McDonald | 4c | 1,253$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.19 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…b59cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 108 | 21.3%23 W · 85 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Adam Walton | 51c | 565.46$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.08 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa102…6b5bbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 49c | 555$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271.95 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ada…91ebbacked Adam Walton | 52c | 534.19$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 14c | 304$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mackenzie McDonald | 7c | 289.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.31 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mackenzie McDonald | 4c | 250.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Adam Walton | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 929 | 53.5%497 W · 432 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 37c | 240.35$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.93 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Adam Walton | 77c | 238$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.31 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 197.88$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 220 | 33.6%74 W · 146 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 46c | 185.19$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Adam Walton | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 1,198 | 52.4%628 W · 570 L | +28.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdf…ec9ebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Mackenzie McDonald | 48c | 162.31$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 1,702 | 48.3%822 W · 880 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Mackenzie McDonald | 16c | 156.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x128a…819bbacked Adam Walton | 51c | 124.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.19 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x831f…cc50backed Mackenzie McDonald | 20c | 123.75$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.75 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 123.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mackenzie McDonald | 48c | 109.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.62 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mackenzie McDonald | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Adam Walton | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -21.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 79.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 327 | 26.9%88 W · 239 L | -43.6wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3679…492ebacked Adam Walton | 68c | 70$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 310 | 53.5%166 W · 144 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed2d…faeebacked Mackenzie McDonald | 18c | 66.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x285f…0f08backed Mackenzie McDonald | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 185 | 37.3%69 W · 116 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 46c | 49$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Adam Walton | 51c | 48.51$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…8ebebacked Adam Walton | 52c | 47.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.65 | 205 | 53.7%110 W · 95 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mackenzie McDonald | 25c | 44.04$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Adam Walton | 65c | 37.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Adam Walton | 58c | 35$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Mackenzie McDonald | 49c | 33.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Mackenzie McDonald | 48c | 23.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 1,580 | 42.3%668 W · 912 L | +18.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…bcb7backed Mackenzie McDonald | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newport: Mackenzie McDonald vs Adam Waltonthis page
- McDonald vs. Walton: Match O/U 22.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.