TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8725…bcb7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
87
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 52 out of 100; worst NHL at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT3754.1%20 W · 17 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.79
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$15.09
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.57
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$53.75
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Pelicans vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.23
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$8.42
Hawks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.54
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Rockets vs. Sunsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.09
Mavericks vs. Bucksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
76ers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$24.46
Celtics vs. Hawksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Rockets vs. Pelicansbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$17.74
76ers vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT2138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Golden Knights vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wild vs. Avalanchebacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Sabres vs. Bruinsbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+100%+$19.4
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.3
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.01
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
Kings vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.03
Stars vs. Maple Leafsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$11.75
Wild vs. Bluesbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Rangers vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Senators vs. Devilsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Penguins vs. Capitalsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Stars vs. Penguinsbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.88
Senators vs. Lightningbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Maple Leafs vs. Bruinsbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
All 21 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+55.6%+$11.13
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+68.1%+$20.42
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.79
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$8.54
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+114.1%+$22.83
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$11.25
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$8.99
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 16 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.04
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.77
All 4 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick71cpaid-68.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-39.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Yandex (BO2) - ESL One Birmingham Group Abacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.