MLB · resolved market

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5d5a74d8cf82cff649ec0ebba4b05e40e781a75b027eceab123f1c377de12081

Rebuilt 12 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Houston Astrosof Houston Astros, Washington Nationals
Resolved: Jul 7, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $497,495
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $498,228

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $497,495 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 310 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x5e94…5ba1backed Houston Astros	48c	208,333$99,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108,363.07	469	49%230 W · 239 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Washington Nationals	52c	99,999$51,999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51,999.48	1,385	49.5%685 W · 700 L	-4.9wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bb…8492backed Washington Nationals	52c	32,424$16,860 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16,860.26	865	48.7%421 W · 444 L	-8.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Washington Nationals	52c	25,000$12,998 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,998.42	2,291	52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L	+24.6wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Washington Nationals	7c	18,935$1,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,282.41	826	36.6%302 W · 524 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Washington Nationals	6c	17,861$1,061 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.46	4,381	44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L	+77.8wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Houston Astros	48c	15,000$7,215 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,784.99	489	52.8%258 W · 231 L	+16.0wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Washington Nationals	53c	14,608$7,777 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,777	1,660	50.1%832 W · 828 L	-22.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Washington Nationals	49c	12,216$5,993 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,992.74	856	45.3%388 W · 468 L	+18.7wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	+36.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc365…2e53backed Houston Astros	41c	7,745$3,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,574.92	1,607	53.2%855 W · 752 L	+74.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Washington Nationals	57c	6,715$3,794 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,794.3	981	49.9%490 W · 491 L	-17.6wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Washington Nationals	52c	6,666$3,466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,466.32	479	53.2%255 W · 224 L	+18.0wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Washington Nationals	26c	5,993$1,540 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,539.79	8,086	46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L	+29.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9db…6789backed Houston Astros	50c	5,628$2,798 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,829.83	267	62.2%166 W · 101 L	+43.9wins	+0.16per pick	46cpaid	+58%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Houston Astros	59c	4,966$2,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,037.3	2,969	48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L	-5.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros	48c	4,583$2,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,404.68	6,899	50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L	-7.1wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58b9…ee8bbacked Washington Nationals	53c	4,202$2,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,213.71	752	48.8%367 W · 385 L	-1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41b4…10dabacked Houston Astros	47c	4,105$1,934 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,170.75	199	50.3%100 W · 99 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Washington Nationals	52c	4,000$2,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,080	5,401	50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L	+17.6wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd75f…ddcbbacked Washington Nationals	52c	3,863$1,990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,989.81	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-2.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-52.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Washington Nationals	0c	3,833$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.59	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros	40c	3,443$1,371 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,071.6	11,357	52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L	+209.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Houston Astros	57c	3,202$1,810 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,391.95	950	45.2%429 W · 521 L	-12.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros	65c	3,008$1,961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,046.89	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Houston Astros	47c	2,846$1,339 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,507	2,369	47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L	-11.6wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Washington Nationals	5c	2,514$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.52	174	17.2%30 W · 144 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+14.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,293$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.68	2,021	39.5%798 W · 1,223 L	-25.7wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Washington Nationals	62c	2,204$1,372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,371.82	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Washington Nationals	50c	2,124$1,055 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,054.82	4,478	48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L	-47.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Washington Nationals	54c	2,116$1,146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,146.17	1,075	58.3%627 W · 448 L	-21.3wins	-0.02per pick	60cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Washington Nationals	53c	2,084$1,095 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,094.84	167	47.9%80 W · 87 L	-5.4wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Washington Nationals	52c	2,045$1,064 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,064.15	1,515	51.1%774 W · 741 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Washington Nationals	1c	2,039$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.96	38	50%19 W · 19 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Washington Nationals	52c	2,020$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,056.2	2,290	51%1,167 W · 1,123 L	+23.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Washington Nationals	29c	1,796$519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$518.63	1,137	42.6%484 W · 653 L	+10.0wins	+0.01per pick	42cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Washington Nationals	52c	1,759$918 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$918.23	246	39%96 W · 150 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	37cpaid	-2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Houston Astros	46c	1,725$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$925.48	98	37.8%37 W · 61 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9ecc…7850backed Washington Nationals	52c	1,540$801 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801	51	52.9%27 W · 24 L	+2.3wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Washington Nationals	53c	1,500$795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$795	328	50.3%165 W · 163 L	+9.2wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Washington Nationals	45c	1,389$619 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$619.19	8,295	47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L	+72.4wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Washington Nationals	59c	1,241$738 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738	66	53%35 W · 31 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…3e2bbacked Houston Astros	44c	1,147$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$646.79	45	31.1%14 W · 31 L	-4.6wins	-0.10per pick	41cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Washington Nationals	52c	1,088$565 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.67	1,725	50.1%864 W · 861 L	-4.5wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Washington Nationals	7c	1,041$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.31	12,247	46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L	-68.6wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Washington Nationals	53c	1,008$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530.3	1,796	43.8%786 W · 1,010 L	-33.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Washington Nationals	52c	1,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	1,836	50.8%932 W · 904 L	-3.9wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x816b…d69dbacked Houston Astros	71c	917.77$656 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.78	117	59%69 W · 48 L	+2.6wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4722…4fc4backed Houston Astros	30c	895.46$272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$623.46	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+2.8wins	+0.26per pick	38cpaid	+68%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Houston Astros	48c	878.62$417 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$461.25	515	45.2%233 W · 282 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09af…9728backed Washington Nationals	53c	789.3$418 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$418.33	891	53.5%477 W · 414 L	+24.2wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+5.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Washington Nationals	53c	756.29$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	52	63.5%33 W · 19 L	+2.4wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Washington Nationals	52c	746.97$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.2	1,402	48.8%684 W · 718 L	-11.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac65…cfe6backed Washington Nationals	51c	738.24$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379	137	59.1%81 W · 56 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	57cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Washington Nationals	34c	722.2$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.24	5,127	54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L	+232.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Washington Nationals	39c	691.31$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272.31	4,169	50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L	+92.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Washington Nationals	30c	673.02$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.69	1,456	42.7%622 W · 834 L	-39.7wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Washington Nationals	5c	600$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.4	266	18.4%49 W · 217 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a3f…4333backed Washington Nationals	52c	571.67$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$298.96	562	53.2%299 W · 263 L	+13.2wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8678…6199backed Washington Nationals	53c	563.6$298 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.58	42	52.4%22 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros	65c	552.2$359 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$192.89	1,499	58.9%883 W · 616 L	+75.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	-2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Washington Nationals	33c	537.55$178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.7	3,457	51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L	+108.1wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb92…b221backed Houston Astros	47c	530$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$280.37	379	44.3%168 W · 211 L	-17.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…5bdfbacked Washington Nationals	53c	513.49$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.51	259	50.2%130 W · 129 L	+6.7wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Washington Nationals	52c	510$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.69	2,296	49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L	+37.8wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Washington Nationals	52c	508.68$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.64	450	45.8%206 W · 244 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Washington Nationals	52c	507.69$264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264	945	49%463 W · 482 L	-38.2wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	-8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3b5…941abacked Houston Astros	48c	500$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260	237	58.6%139 W · 98 L	+16.9wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Washington Nationals	21c	500$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	367	29.4%108 W · 259 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Washington Nationals	52c	500$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Washington Nationals	6c	498.99$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.94	1,777	49.5%880 W · 897 L	+25.6wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Washington Nationals	52c	478.74$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	403	48.4%195 W · 208 L	-18.3wins	-0.05per pick	53cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Washington Nationals	50c	467$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.5	224	48.7%109 W · 115 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Washington Nationals	24c	461.38$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.32	547	15.9%87 W · 460 L	-40.7wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-44.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Houston Astros	36c	436.93$157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$279.85	660	50.2%331 W · 329 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xd335…fe54backed Washington Nationals	53c	413.31$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.23	79	57%45 W · 34 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	55cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c57…e81abacked Washington Nationals	50c	398.41$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Washington Nationals	51c	398$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.98	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Washington Nationals	52c	390$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.41	1,555	48.9%761 W · 794 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Houston Astros	47c	387$183 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.57	173	48%83 W · 90 L	-7.4wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf51e…e386backed Washington Nationals	54c	367.02$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	91	46.2%42 W · 49 L	-4.2wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Washington Nationals	6c	366$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.72	346	39.6%137 W · 209 L	-12.9wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Washington Nationals	33c	349.94$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.13	434	59%256 W · 178 L	+19.9wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x378c…14b8backed Houston Astros	72c	332.27$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$92.27	33	48.5%16 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.06per pick	55cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Washington Nationals	17c	327.88$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.48	1,043	49%511 W · 532 L	+3.2wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Washington Nationals	52c	324$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.16	840	49.4%415 W · 425 L	+8.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d98…fe98backed Washington Nationals	54c	322.06$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.59	81	55.6%45 W · 36 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x54d0…8e20backed Washington Nationals	52c	321.22$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	321	57%183 W · 138 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe292…84b8backed Houston Astros	47c	320$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$169.6	1,402	43.1%604 W · 798 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba7…67a1backed Washington Nationals	52c	309.02$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.38	370	52.2%193 W · 177 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Washington Nationals	53c	299.99$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.39	586	52.7%309 W · 277 L	+14.7wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc9e…5a9ebacked Washington Nationals	40c	272.44$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	342	55.3%189 W · 153 L	+10.4wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xffae…adaebacked Houston Astros	48c	272.12$129 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$142.86	589	43.1%254 W · 335 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Washington Nationals	12c	261.19$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.02	1,879	40.6%763 W · 1,116 L	-39.9wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Washington Nationals	52c	260.26$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.35	322	51.6%166 W · 156 L	+8.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Houston Astros	42c	260.07$109 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$150.84	904	46.9%424 W · 480 L	+13.1wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa79a…d72abacked Washington Nationals	52c	259.88$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	158	48.1%76 W · 82 L	-6.8wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f4…81a6backed Washington Nationals	6c	258.62$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	37	2.7%1 W · 36 L	-2.7wins	-0.07per pick	10cpaid	-82%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Houston Astros	36c	253.23$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$163.24	111	48.6%54 W · 57 L	+0.4wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Washington Nationals	52c	250$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	1,168	49%572 W · 596 L	+17.5wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Washington Nationals	8c	245.6$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	153	49%75 W · 78 L	+4.4wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationalsthis page
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5Under won
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event