MLB · resolved market
Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdb013062e7782a29ace79cc640e6a1f4c3799ee1c0bfd4572306baf847ece8f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $265,781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $267,118
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $265,781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 132 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 52c | 66,666$34,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,999.64 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 57c | 35,000$19,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,911.63 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 49c | 32,236$15,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,409.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 24,239$11,635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,634.68 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…3046backed Over | 49c | 22,005$10,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,782.45 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 49c | 21,222$10,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,398.76 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Under | 53c | 18,868$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.92 | 165 | 48.5%80 W · 85 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Under | 51c | 18,664$9,519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,145.31 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Over | 48c | 14,950$7,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,176 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 48c | 10,807$5,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,187.38 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde49…fe85backed Over | 61c | 10,000$6,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,077.07 | 484 | 51%247 W · 237 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 48c | 7,777$3,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,732.95 | 479 | 53.2%255 W · 224 L | +18.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 49c | 6,442$3,138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,303.87 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 57c | 6,394$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,722.21 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Under | 53c | 6,297$3,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,964.16 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 5,959$2,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,456.22 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Over | 51c | 5,700$2,907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,907 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 47c | 3,769$1,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,781.41 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Under | 52c | 3,715$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.97 | 97 | 66%64 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,470 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 2,765$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.94 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 47c | 2,503$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.8 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 58c | 2,138$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,238.16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over | 47c | 2,018$938 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$938.41 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 48c | 1,768$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.82 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…5ee4backed Over | 48c | 1,678$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.42 | 285 | 53.3%152 W · 133 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 44c | 1,400$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.37 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaabc…a190backed Over | 52c | 1,042$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Under | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Under | 52c | 961.46$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.5 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7be0…ca40backed Over | 48c | 940.07$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.32 | 87 | 75.9%66 W · 21 L | +9.7wins | +0.11per pick | 65cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 51c | 755.71$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.3 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dad…4855backed Under | 52c | 750$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 210 | 52.9%111 W · 99 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 29c | 749.51$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.07 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 32c | 742.67$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.54 | 129 | 24.8%32 W · 97 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 51c | 726.23$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.85 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 48c | 676$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.48 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Under | 53c | 566.25$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.92 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 52c | 556.02$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.25 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 12c | 529.81$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.37 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Over | 46c | 477.34$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.58 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 49c | 465.43$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.01 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 46c | 419.48$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.96 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Over | 48c | 390$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.2 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Under | 51c | 386.9$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.58 | 568 | 51.4%292 W · 276 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under | 54c | 355.22$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.14 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Under | 47c | 354.6$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.94 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Under | 48c | 264.19$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.25 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Under | 56c | 256.99$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.08 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 47c | 250$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.5 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15bc…4a7ebacked Over | 57c | 239.05$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Under | 58c | 222.78$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Over | 48c | 208.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 515 | 45.2%233 W · 282 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 349 | 42.7%149 W · 200 L | -19.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Under | 53c | 205.1$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.4 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 43c | 201.58$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Under | 54c | 198$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 53c | 186.26$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.72 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 48c | 183.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 49c | 178.69$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 44c | 175$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51da…a701backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Under | 52c | 167.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.33 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 40c | 159.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 33c | 151.47$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.31 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 47c | 142$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.74 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 55c | 124.88$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Under | 51c | 120$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.8 | 77 | 55.8%43 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 47c | 118.9$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.89 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 51c | 113.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.23 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Under | 77c | 110.53$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.23 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,279 | 51.2%655 W · 624 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Over | 57c | 98.11$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 536 | 44.6%239 W · 297 L | -11.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 52c | 98.03$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.05 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Under | 56c | 96.03$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.43 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf10…b9b0backed Over | 49c | 95.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Under | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2713…43b2backed Over | 57c | 85.96$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Over | 57c | 85.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fff…5495backed Under | 52c | 84.62$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +7.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 45c | 73.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Over | 57c | 70.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Under | 49c | 68$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.54 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…0adfbacked Over | 48c | 65.85$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 45c | 58.02$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Under | 52c | 57.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.7 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 53c | 57.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.53 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…6019backed Under | 47c | 57.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Over | 35c | 56.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847c…9ff8backed Over | 54c | 55.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 48c | 53.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.47 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5this page
- Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsHouston Astros won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5Under won
- Houston Astros vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5)Washington Nationals won
- Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Washington NationalsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.