TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$181,064
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$185,447

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,064 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 189 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4bff…fc26backed Golden State Valkyries70c36,022$25,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,806.698937.1%33 W · 56 L-8.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb7a7…d3abbacked Connecticut Sun1c21,000$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2091533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick30cpaid-23.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun30c17,258$5,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,177.436154%195 W · 166 L+0.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ba…04e4backed Connecticut Sun47c14,027$6,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,5803933.3%13 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-25.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x64e9…eb4cbacked Golden State Valkyries70c12,873$8,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,890.24766%31 W · 16 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Connecticut Sun1c9,410$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.15020%10 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1af3…b3b4backed Connecticut Sun30c7,830$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Golden State Valkyries70c7,204$5,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.1332049.4%158 W · 162 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Connecticut Sun30c6,409$1,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,911.8714942.3%63 W · 86 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries56c5,920$3,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,623.4978548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Connecticut Sun31c5,303$1,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,632.1719458.2%113 W · 81 L+12.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun31c4,809$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,472.1199548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0467…fb2ebacked Connecticut Sun30c4,633$1,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,389.961546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Connecticut Sun25c3,440$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.08757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.24per pick34cpaid+49.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Golden State Valkyries75c3,359$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$845.737740.3%31 W · 46 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacf8…e791backed Connecticut Sun31c3,134$971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$971.314829.2%14 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Connecticut Sun2c3,100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.544915.6%70 W · 379 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Golden State Valkyries56c2,873$1,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.5131043.2%134 W · 176 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries62c2,803$1,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.941,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3a6…71bdbacked Connecticut Sun30c2,775$832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$832.385657.1%32 W · 24 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Golden State Valkyries71c2,686$1,907 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.827259.7%43 W · 29 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x060d…d746backed Golden State Valkyries79c2,545$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.172065%13 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick62cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Connecticut Sun29c2,532$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$745.0783748.1%403 W · 434 L+2.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4278…0e92backed Connecticut Sun22c2,226$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.816549.2%32 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7120…7c4ebacked Connecticut Sun14c2,018$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.048228%23 W · 59 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Connecticut Sun24c2,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47021440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun29c1,606$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.6217946.4%83 W · 96 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Connecticut Sun30c1,600$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.997746.8%36 W · 41 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+20.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Connecticut Sun30c1,500$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.991770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+45.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Golden State Valkyries77c1,489$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.2310340.8%42 W · 61 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62a…f05bbacked Golden State Valkyries71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.453073.3%22 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe6a9…e35abacked Golden State Valkyries72c1,301$936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+18.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd60…396cbacked Golden State Valkyries77c1,299$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$298.77638.2%29 W · 47 L-7.7wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Golden State Valkyries71c1,268$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.618061.3%49 W · 31 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0373…4057backed Connecticut Sun31c1,234$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.18733.3%29 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick32cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun7c1,228$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.8834726.5%92 W · 255 L-20.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-39.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe77…8fe4backed Connecticut Sun30c1,167$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.171650%8 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+28.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x429e…41bdbacked Golden State Valkyries78c1,150$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe342…b692backed Golden State Valkyries72c999.98$716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.992263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+23.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Connecticut Sun30c992.54$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.7692248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6553…7a71backed Connecticut Sun30c962.13$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.6432743.7%143 W · 184 L-23.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Golden State Valkyries61c883.96$543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.3912045%54 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23f4…c234backed Connecticut Sun23c869.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun30c847$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.155255.1%304 W · 248 L+25.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7693…470fbacked Connecticut Sun24c839.93$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.21631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick34cpaid+13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Connecticut Sun15c763.28$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.3319428.9%56 W · 138 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd72d…0dbbbacked Connecticut Sun24c760.93$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1802123.8%5 W · 16 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-42.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Connecticut Sun43c739.5$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.981450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1d7…47a4backed Connecticut Sun42c708.24$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.469549.5%47 W · 48 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Golden State Valkyries67c647.15$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.6710634.9%37 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90a6…cf4bbacked Golden State Valkyries71c611.32$432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.27450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Golden State Valkyries57c600$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9513844.9%62 W · 76 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Golden State Valkyries63c541.67$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.799146.2%42 W · 49 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Connecticut Sun30c502.12$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.6334448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Connecticut Sun22c500$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105633.9%19 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+14.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Golden State Valkyries62c469.53$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.193531.4%11 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-25.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Connecticut Sun30c455.4$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6274942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Golden State Valkyries66c447.32$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6510538.1%40 W · 65 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Golden State Valkyries66c420.01$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.757150.7%36 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Golden State Valkyries65c418$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.8918746%86 W · 101 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Golden State Valkyries69c414$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.4812144.6%54 W · 67 L-0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf333…038cbacked Golden State Valkyries70c407.9$286 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.373265.6%21 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc3c…d6c2backed Connecticut Sun30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203342.4%14 W · 19 L+3.4wins+0.10per pick32cpaid+21.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1b2…ba55backed Golden State Valkyries64c399.99$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451275%9 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Connecticut Sun22c395.97$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.168837.5%33 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick38cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Connecticut Sun38c377.4$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.2885158.4%497 W · 354 L+70.2wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Connecticut Sun27c373.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002832.1%9 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-15%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x63df…63d1backed Connecticut Sun12c372.75$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.187638.2%29 W · 47 L+8.2wins+0.11per pick27cpaid+35.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Connecticut Sun30c356.4$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.921827.8%5 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries70c340.11$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.0364152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f7…43d5backed Connecticut Sun30c319.61$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.8810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91b6…4b40backed Golden State Valkyries63c316.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.1212234.4%42 W · 80 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid+7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…13b9backed Golden State Valkyries74c309.68$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.525156.9%29 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d93…b34dbacked Golden State Valkyries56c299.99$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1326055%33 W · 27 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480e…71e9backed Golden State Valkyries67c297.36$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.161100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Connecticut Sun30c291.03$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.311546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x55ab…4f88backed Connecticut Sun7c284$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.075745.6%26 W · 31 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Golden State Valkyries64c275.34$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.0119031.1%59 W · 131 L-14.2wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-43.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries70c264.21$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.151,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cab…f595backed Connecticut Sun40c261.87$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1051553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Connecticut Sun30c255.81$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.7489349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf21…7e3dbacked Golden State Valkyries66c250.34$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.833647.2%17 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+30.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Golden State Valkyries63c236.38$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.3710453.8%56 W · 48 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Golden State Valkyries75c226.8$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.710445.2%47 W · 57 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa9…58eebacked Golden State Valkyries78c218.71$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.12475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+30%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Connecticut Sun37c217.54$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.5114947.7%71 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf983…39a0backed Golden State Valkyries58c204.91$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.061030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-41.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Connecticut Sun12c200$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239214.1%13 W · 79 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Connecticut Sun30c199.99$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603135.5%11 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Golden State Valkyries69c196.94$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9841147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Connecticut Sun27c194.18$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4338650.3%194 W · 192 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Connecticut Sun26c191.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$494850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f9f…e21cbacked Golden State Valkyries65c188.81$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.812369.6%16 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick65cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde6…764bbacked Golden State Valkyries56c177.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.865457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Connecticut Sun30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Golden State Valkyries69c158.96$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.5950952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Golden State Valkyries73c155.67$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.0340550.9%206 W · 199 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda97…67b2backed Connecticut Sun27c152.11$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.2910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Connecticut Sun41c146.34$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606640.9%27 W · 39 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Connecticut Sun29c143.11$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.212650.8%64 W · 62 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.