WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7e1ce214b1e769381ae906594e0fc1196387706146d66181d49b3e37a460a1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Connecticut Sun
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,854
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,981
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,854 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 15,133$7,866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,266.69 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 4,785$2,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,312.01 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 2,707$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,407.19 | 231 | 49.4%114 W · 117 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Connecticut Sun | 41c | 2,616$1,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.56 | 564 | 55.1%311 W · 253 L | +27.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Connecticut Sun | 48c | 2,312$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.67 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Connecticut Sun | 48c | 2,289$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.77 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 2,034$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.02 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 49c | 2,000$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.88 | 137 | 46%63 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 1,962$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.86 | 367 | 54%198 W · 169 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,112$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.28 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 771.31$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.37 | 410 | 51.2%210 W · 200 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 651.27$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 348 | 26.4%92 W · 256 L | -21.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 554.38$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.82 | 904 | 49.4%447 W · 457 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Connecticut Sun | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Connecticut Sun | 47c | 453$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.91 | 314 | 43%135 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 400$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Connecticut Sun | 45c | 397.5$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.5 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…f39cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 305.48$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.85 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 284.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.35 | 657 | 51.4%338 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…42cebacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 204.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -8.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 57c | 122.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 414 | 46.6%193 W · 221 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 116.39$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 105.26$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.74 | 32 | 68.8%22 W · 10 L | +5.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5843…db42backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.9wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 103.99$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.48 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 224 | 46%103 W · 121 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Connecticut Sun | 52c | 74.68$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.83 | 198 | 47.5%94 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 69$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 761 | 42.7%325 W · 436 L | -19.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked Connecticut Sun | 46c | 65.21$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 276 | 49.6%137 W · 139 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Connecticut Sun | 42c | 60$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 59.47$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 333 | 47.7%159 W · 174 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Golden State Valkyries | 60c | 45.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 352 | 54.3%191 W · 161 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Connecticut Sun | 53c | 40.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.28 | 143 | 50.3%72 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Connecticut Sun | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun | 40c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 515 | 52.6%271 W · 244 L | +18.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Connecticut Sun | 52c | 35$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Golden State Valkyries | 47c | 28.29$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut SunGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 153.5Under won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.