TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, Connecticut Sun
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$6,342
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$6,107

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,342 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Connecticut Sun56c3,065$1,705 inLost-$1,705.2750952.5%267 W · 242 L+17.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Golden State Valkyries44c1,530$674 inWon+$856.5499548.1%479 W · 516 L+2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden State Valkyries47c1,274$604 inWon+$669.611,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Golden State Valkyries45c1,263$565 inWon+$697.8778548.8%383 W · 402 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Connecticut Sun60c572.45$343 inLost-$343.0815654.5%85 W · 71 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Connecticut Sun52c499.98$260 inLost-$259.9921440.7%87 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4e2…0f82backed Golden State Valkyries48c416.67$200 inWon+$216.673857.9%22 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries41c357.68$146 inWon+$211.561,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Connecticut Sun45c267.27$120 inLost-$120.278038.8%31 W · 49 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51da…a701backed Connecticut Sun61c247.92$150 inLost-$15016153.4%86 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Connecticut Sun55c181.82$100 inLost-$10012846.1%59 W · 69 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Connecticut Sun51c165$84 inLost-$84.1550646.8%237 W · 269 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Golden State Valkyries39c117.55$46 inWon+$71.7112345.5%56 W · 67 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Connecticut Sun56c101.93$57 inLost-$57.0812359.3%73 W · 50 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Golden State Valkyries40c82.3$33 inWon+$49.3874942.3%317 W · 432 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28f7…404dbacked Golden State Valkyries49c69.39$34 inWon+$35.394850%24 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Golden State Valkyries43c64.25$27 inWon+$36.9338744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Golden State Valkyries48c47.52$23 inWon+$24.6524656.5%139 W · 107 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Connecticut Sun55c30.8$17 inLost-$16.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-35.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa61…7f3bbacked Golden State Valkyries43c30$13 inWon+$17.128558.6%167 W · 118 L+20.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Connecticut Sun61c28.28$17 inLost-$17.253770.3%26 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Connecticut Sun53c25.8$14 inLost-$13.673063.3%19 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3563…a0a2backed Connecticut Sun54c21.74$12 inLost-$11.7419245.8%88 W · 104 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.