WNBA · resolved market
Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 153.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b76caf0f6eee4fe28c6a3c58a385275d66427ada36e0147e0201474364d0872
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,415
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,415 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Over | 51c | 50,085$25,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,543.35 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 49c | 15,208$7,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,755.92 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 49c | 6,000$2,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under | 49c | 5,799$2,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,957.65 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under | 49c | 5,105$2,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,603.55 | 88 | 59.1%52 W · 36 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 49c | 2,882$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.72 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 49c | 2,305$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.49 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Under | 49c | 2,223$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,134.58 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Under | 49c | 1,492$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.92 | 149 | 42.3%63 W · 86 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…24e8backed Over | 52c | 1,193$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 1,188$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$617.88 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 600$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 49c | 594.18$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.03 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed Over | 5c | 505.37$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Under | 50c | 454.48$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.24 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32e0…a295backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 12c | 306.37$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.76 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.12 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -8.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 42c | 299.99$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.99 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 49c | 296$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.96 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 220$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 92 | 55.4%51 W · 41 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Under | 49c | 214$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.14 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 49c | 210$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.8 | 171 | 43.9%75 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d6…e7acbacked Under | 50c | 208.2$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Over | 51c | 196.39$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Over | 52c | 185$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 49c | 183$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 411 | 45.7%188 W · 223 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 16c | 152.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 411 | 47%193 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57cc…0fa7backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c3…2061backed Under | 50c | 126.16$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 11c | 107$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 281 | 40.6%114 W · 167 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3c…9320backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Under | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.49 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Under | 49c | 67.36$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Under | 58c | 66$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Under | 49c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 323 | 46.7%151 W · 172 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Under | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Under | 58c | 49$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Under | 67c | 42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 50c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.65 | 426 | 49.3%210 W · 216 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…7ee6backed Over | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Over | 51c | 36.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c03…31bbbacked Under | 48c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.33per pick | 53cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409d…8f47backed Over | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Under | 60c | 28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under | 57c | 28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.91 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Over | 43c | 27.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a62…5247backed Under | 50c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Under | 57c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 153.5this page
- Gabby Williams: Points O/U 14.5No won
- Gabby Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut SunGolden State Valkyries won
- Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 154.5Under won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-6.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.