CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4beea9b8498ef5e7b6cd2e38331934a7cd677da5473015a281c40ca57acb233e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof QUAZAR, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,769
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,311
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,769 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed QUAZAR | 35c | 7,096$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,448.66 | 668 | 51.8%346 W · 322 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb0…57e0backed QUAZAR | 34c | 3,600$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.63 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed HOTU | 67c | 3,528$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,176.15 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed QUAZAR | 32c | 2,898$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.98 | 388 | 41.8%162 W · 226 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4247…91c4backed QUAZAR | 33c | 2,869$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.3 | 157 | 43.9%69 W · 88 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 13c | 2,296$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.31 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed HOTU | 70c | 1,789$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.73 | 294 | 49.3%145 W · 149 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU | 66c | 1,781$1,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.73 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 1,247$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.43 | 226 | 45.1%102 W · 124 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32d8…4cf8backed HOTU | 68c | 1,140$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed QUAZAR | 30c | 1,114$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.2 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU | 65c | 1,017$659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.98 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed HOTU | 65c | 1,000$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 284 | 55.6%158 W · 126 L | +15.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed QUAZAR | 30c | 845.94$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.78 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed HOTU | 67c | 831.63$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.42 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 75c | 783$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.04 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed HOTU | 66c | 753.01$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR | 11c | 727$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.38 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU | 70c | 710.59$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.59 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked HOTU | 67c | 595.99$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.65 | 200 | 45%90 W · 110 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0d5…9727backed HOTU | 64c | 580.88$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.12 | 174 | 38.5%67 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR | 34c | 578.75$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.23 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b96…4389backed HOTU | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 375 | 57.3%215 W · 160 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed HOTU | 67c | 446.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +51.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…920bbacked HOTU | 67c | 444.27$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.61 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 69c | 437.73$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed HOTU | 68c | 430.44$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.74 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked HOTU | 66c | 395$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.3 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed HOTU | 65c | 368.99$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.99 | 34 | 64.7%22 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0146…4d51backed HOTU | 68c | 357$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.89 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed HOTU | 68c | 347.06$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.06 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed HOTU | 66c | 330.2$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HOTU | 68c | 329.03$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.93 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cad…48b5backed HOTU | 68c | 304.96$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.59 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed QUAZAR | 32c | 299.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 991 | 48.3%479 W · 512 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked HOTU | 67c | 291$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.86 | 120 | 71.7%86 W · 34 L | +16.7wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1967…30b5backed HOTU | 68c | 250$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 292 | 46.9%137 W · 155 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed HOTU | 66c | 250$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked QUAZAR | 6c | 248$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 380 | 32.1%122 W · 258 L | -18.7wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked HOTU | 69c | 225.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.28 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed QUAZAR | 36c | 222.24$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 180 | 54.4%98 W · 82 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cff…3984backed HOTU | 69c | 214.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.44 | 209 | 52.6%110 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf990…88bcbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 199.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d99…9c27backed QUAZAR | 31c | 193$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR | 27c | 191.76$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.78 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked QUAZAR | 31c | 176.86$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.57 | 192 | 29.2%56 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19b7…9ee6backed HOTU | 68c | 174.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked HOTU | 68c | 173.78$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.16 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…7c12backed HOTU | 69c | 167$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.43 | 523 | 69.4%363 W · 160 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked HOTU | 64c | 153.48$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 279 | 40.5%113 W · 166 L | -16.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU | 78c | 150.02$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.92 | 1,618 | 46.8%758 W · 860 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QUAZAR | 10c | 149$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.47 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed HOTU | 67c | 144.52$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.04 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU | 76c | 142.7$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.93 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU | 78c | 138.87$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.37 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed HOTU | 67c | 137.72$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.09 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed HOTU | 70c | 127.14$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ac…2fb7backed HOTU | 68c | 118.1$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.53 | 178 | 66.3%118 W · 60 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…e27cbacked HOTU | 68c | 117.31$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.54 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…1523backed HOTU | 70c | 114.16$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.16 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HOTU | 66c | 113.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.07 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82c…4d93backed HOTU | 68c | 106.62$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.12 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.22per pick | 56cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed1…908cbacked HOTU | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 206 | 37.9%78 W · 128 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd95d…2ab5backed HOTU | 68c | 99.99$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 325 | 44.3%144 W · 181 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed QUAZAR | 41c | 97.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.13 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -4.5wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked HOTU | 69c | 96.86$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.03 | 324 | 58%188 W · 136 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked HOTU | 69c | 95$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked HOTU | 67c | 90.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked HOTU | 67c | 88.56$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.48 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked QUAZAR | 16c | 86.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7365…9589backed HOTU | 64c | 76.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR | 34c | 76.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.56 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed HOTU | 66c | 75.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed HOTU | 68c | 72.44$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed HOTU | 60c | 70.04$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.92 | 1,485 | 58%862 W · 623 L | +66.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd83…d102backed HOTU | 68c | 68.39$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9107…75e0backed QUAZAR | 29c | 67.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 69 | 24.6%17 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -30%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd85…1d60backed HOTU | 66c | 60.6$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.6 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 28c | 59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked HOTU | 66c | 58.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed QUAZAR | 30c | 51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed HOTU | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75c7…fcccbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 204 | 44.1%90 W · 114 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked HOTU | 68c | 49.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 264 | 48.1%127 W · 137 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 46.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed HOTU | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked HOTU | 68c | 43.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked HOTU | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed HOTU | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HOTU | 69c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.55 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU | 71c | 32.99$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.57 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234e…1160backed QUAZAR | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 414 | 37%153 W · 261 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed QUAZAR | 40c | 29.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked HOTU | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…cefbbacked HOTU | 66c | 24.68$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8369…1ec0backed HOTU | 66c | 22.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed HOTU | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed HOTU | 68c | 21.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.