TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
HOTUof QUAZAR, HOTU
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$41,769
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$49,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,769 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6b97…8d30backed QUAZAR35c7,096$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,448.6666851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb0…57e0backed QUAZAR34c3,600$1,211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.636144.3%27 W · 34 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed HOTU67c3,528$2,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,176.154136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed QUAZAR32c2,898$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$926.9838841.8%162 W · 226 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed QUAZAR33c2,869$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950.315743.9%69 W · 88 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR13c2,296$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.311,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8adb…e4f6backed HOTU70c1,789$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528.7329449.3%145 W · 149 L-10.3wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed HOTU66c1,781$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.732,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…989fbacked QUAZAR31c1,247$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.4322645.1%102 W · 124 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32d8…4cf8backed HOTU68c1,140$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed QUAZAR30c1,114$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.21,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU65c1,017$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.982,06641.5%858 W · 1,208 L-49.5wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed HOTU65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35028455.6%158 W · 126 L+15.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed QUAZAR30c845.94$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.7871645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2792…c4f6backed HOTU67c831.63$558 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$273.421346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+70.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU75c783$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.042,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe88…67a8backed HOTU66c753.01$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.98666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+62.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed QUAZAR11c727$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.381,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked HOTU70c710.59$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.591,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked HOTU67c595.99$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.6520045%90 W · 110 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0d5…9727backed HOTU64c580.88$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.1217438.5%67 W · 107 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR34c578.75$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.232,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed HOTU66c500$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17061948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed HOTU65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17537557.3%215 W · 160 L-16.4wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbf9c…3648backed HOTU67c446.14$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.411643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+51.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22ae…920bbacked HOTU67c444.27$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.612962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+22.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed HOTU69c437.73$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.254,06450.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L+69.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8a1…ceb5backed HOTU68c430.44$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.744751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked HOTU66c395$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.375833.4%253 W · 505 L-48.9wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dc6…4b55backed HOTU65c368.99$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.993464.7%22 W · 12 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+26.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0146…4d51backed HOTU68c357$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.894257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed HOTU68c347.06$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.066352.4%33 W · 30 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed HOTU66c330.2$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.271040%4 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed HOTU68c329.03$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.931,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed HOTU68c304.96$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.592755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed QUAZAR32c299.95$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.9899148.3%479 W · 512 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked HOTU67c291$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8612071.7%86 W · 34 L+16.7wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+17.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x1967…30b5backed HOTU68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8029246.9%137 W · 155 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb21b…88f9backed HOTU66c250$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8547054%254 W · 216 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked QUAZAR6c248$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.738032.1%122 W · 258 L-18.7wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f34…ed6abacked HOTU69c225.83$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2821536.3%78 W · 137 L-11.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa1ee…0267backed QUAZAR36c222.24$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7818054.4%98 W · 82 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cff…3984backed HOTU69c214.44$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.4420952.6%110 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked QUAZAR34c199.99$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683020%6 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-40.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d99…9c27backed QUAZAR31c193$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.8314439.6%57 W · 87 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked QUAZAR27c191.76$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.784,93337.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L-249.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked QUAZAR31c176.86$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5719229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19b7…9ee6backed HOTU68c174.05$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.443030%9 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+24.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff19…3ebebacked HOTU68c173.78$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.162536%9 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick38cpaid+30.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8da3…7c12backed HOTU69c167$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.4352369.4%363 W · 160 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked HOTU64c153.48$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8527940.5%113 W · 166 L-16.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed HOTU78c150.02$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.921,61846.8%758 W · 860 L-28.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked QUAZAR10c149$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4772353.5%387 W · 336 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed HOTU67c144.52$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0448851.8%253 W · 235 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked HOTU76c142.7$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.934,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU78c138.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.371,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed HOTU67c137.72$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.091250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcce…c920backed HOTU70c127.14$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1417361.3%106 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR30c120$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3680740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ac…2fb7backed HOTU68c118.1$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5317866.3%118 W · 60 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick71cpaid-7.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d19…e27cbacked HOTU68c117.31$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.548159.3%48 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0905…1523backed HOTU70c114.16$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.165851.7%30 W · 28 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-11.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed HOTU66c113.07$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0728843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd82c…4d93backed HOTU68c106.62$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.12977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick56cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ed1…908cbacked HOTU68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3220637.9%78 W · 128 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95d…2ab5backed HOTU68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3232544.3%144 W · 181 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed QUAZAR41c97.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.133132.3%10 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.15per pick47cpaid-40.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked HOTU69c96.86$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0332458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked HOTU69c95$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.41,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad2c…4eecbacked HOTU67c90.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.4351252.1%267 W · 245 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked HOTU67c88.56$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.4844747.2%211 W · 236 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked QUAZAR16c86.23$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.022,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7365…9589backed HOTU64c76.36$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.4929455.8%164 W · 130 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed QUAZAR34c76.15$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.561,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed HOTU66c75.75$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.7613058.5%76 W · 54 L-0.5wins0.00per pick59cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed HOTU68c72.44$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1869445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed HOTU60c70.04$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.921,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd83…d102backed HOTU68c68.39$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.8810047%47 W · 53 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9107…75e0backed QUAZAR29c67.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.726924.6%17 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-30%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd85…1d60backed HOTU66c60.6$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.620147.3%95 W · 106 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR28c59$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.612,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked HOTU66c58.44$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8724746.6%115 W · 132 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb188…8be3backed QUAZAR30c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3824558%142 W · 103 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…71c9backed HOTU59c50$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.56350.8%32 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75c7…fcccbacked QUAZAR31c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.520444.1%90 W · 114 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked HOTU68c49.99$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1626448.1%127 W · 137 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR31c46.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.545,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed HOTU67c44.78$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7883856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0eba…cb3dbacked HOTU68c43.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.9617067.6%115 W · 55 L+14.0wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe14a…62bebacked HOTU68c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.95333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-50.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee22…7054backed HOTU67c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.211844.1%52 W · 66 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked HOTU69c40$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.551,27471.5%911 W · 363 L+3.3wins0.00per pick71cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked HOTU71c32.99$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.575,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234e…1160backed QUAZAR35c30$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.541437%153 W · 261 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5672…7312backed QUAZAR40c29.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7862248.2%300 W · 322 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked HOTU70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5725650.4%129 W · 127 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5754…cefbbacked HOTU66c24.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.399154.9%50 W · 41 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8369…1ec0backed HOTU66c22.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.6510956.9%62 W · 47 L+8.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed HOTU67c22$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.2660451%308 W · 296 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed HOTU68c21.95$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.951855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.