CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8e034f93a728a7891903d5440241df8e1abec66151878a053ea5bf9ae1a97625
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof QUAZAR, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,567
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8935…7daabacked HOTU | 61c | 1,244$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.32 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed QUAZAR | 39c | 1,143$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.77 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HOTU | 69c | 1,106$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.26 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked QUAZAR | 37c | 1,053$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.13 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked HOTU | 56c | 1,019$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.72 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 29c | 878.46$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed QUAZAR | 51c | 863$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.13 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 54c | 799.82$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.46 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 3c | 673.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.23 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HOTU | 71c | 668.24$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.69 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HOTU | 56c | 506.75$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.31 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1522…70febacked QUAZAR | 20c | 393$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.91 | 366 | 45.6%167 W · 199 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed QUAZAR | 41c | 376.15$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.87 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR | 40c | 372.84$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.29 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed HOTU | 62c | 283.19$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.26 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked QUAZAR | 42c | 267.62$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.67 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed QUAZAR | 29c | 206$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.35 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked QUAZAR | 18c | 176.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed QUAZAR | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed HOTU | 63c | 147.42$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.55 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked QUAZAR | 42c | 135.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.23 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed QUAZAR | 34c | 133$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 917 | 43.7%401 W · 516 L | -35.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed QUAZAR | 38c | 131.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed HOTU | 56c | 130$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked QUAZAR | 29c | 126$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.02 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed QUAZAR | 44c | 107$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked QUAZAR | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed HOTU | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fe0…fb5bbacked HOTU | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HOTU | 52c | 80$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.4 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked QUAZAR | 44c | 79$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked QUAZAR | 45c | 77.9$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed HOTU | 63c | 70$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed QUAZAR | 30c | 64.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x07e2…6099backed QUAZAR | 36c | 63.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed HOTU | 63c | 60.68$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 288 | 43.1%124 W · 164 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked QUAZAR | 35c | 57.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.55 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed HOTU | 64c | 53.02$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ded…181bbacked QUAZAR | 28c | 52.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked HOTU | 40c | 52.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 230 | 38.3%88 W · 142 L | -15.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3146…d153backed HOTU | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked QUAZAR | 41c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked HOTU | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed HOTU | 52c | 48.38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.42 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eba…cb3dbacked HOTU | 64c | 46.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.82 | 170 | 67.6%115 W · 55 L | +14.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed QUAZAR | 37c | 45$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed QUAZAR | 45c | 43$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed QUAZAR | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.1 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked QUAZAR | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed HOTU | 65c | 32.85$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked HOTU | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed HOTU | 59c | 29.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.03 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed HOTU | 65c | 29.29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8f…b302backed HOTU | 63c | 25.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 113 | 58.4%66 W · 47 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 2 WinnerHOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.