CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1a018058ea6893fa922c307f15703b1246cf0fdc7c51ed85f0a6aa7787b69561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HOTUof QUAZAR, HOTU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,578
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked QUAZAR | 29c | 5,823$1,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,715.96 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HOTU | 69c | 3,148$2,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.14 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed HOTU | 69c | 1,535$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.65 | 1,088 | 54.2%590 W · 498 L | +39.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked HOTU | 69c | 1,457$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.7 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked QUAZAR | 27c | 1,425$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.25 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed HOTU | 77c | 1,269$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.96 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked QUAZAR | 22c | 722.12$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.77 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed HOTU | 66c | 703.19$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.61 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HOTU | 63c | 568.53$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.2 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked QUAZAR | 36c | 564.72$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.26 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed QUAZAR | 37c | 493.79$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.41 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7da…43d9backed HOTU | 64c | 329.99$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.79 | 271 | 56.1%152 W · 119 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked QUAZAR | 31c | 291.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.54 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed HOTU | 70c | 251.15$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.22 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked QUAZAR | 36c | 250$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed QUAZAR | 36c | 232.8$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.81 | 513 | 48.3%248 W · 265 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HOTU | 72c | 230$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.61 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed QUAZAR | 32c | 228.48$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.93 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a62…fc1abacked HOTU | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 138 | 34.8%48 W · 90 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed QUAZAR | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed QUAZAR | 28c | 152$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.98 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed QUAZAR | 16c | 148$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed QUAZAR | 29c | 136.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 514 | 46.9%241 W · 273 L | -22.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed QUAZAR | 28c | 135.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.53 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed QUAZAR | 27c | 129.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.18 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fe…e21fbacked HOTU | 77c | 129.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.8 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed HOTU | 64c | 117.8$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 275 | 44%121 W · 154 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked QUAZAR | 23c | 115$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed QUAZAR | 30c | 113.23$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfce…5c3ebacked HOTU | 65c | 105.2$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed HOTU | 69c | 102.82$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.08 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed QUAZAR | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked HOTU | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.45 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed HOTU | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked HOTU | 71c | 100$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked QUAZAR | 29c | 94.38$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked HOTU | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.84 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked QUAZAR | 26c | 85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.86 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed QUAZAR | 29c | 77.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HOTU | 71c | 77$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed HOTU | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked QUAZAR | 29c | 65.36$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb6…2ea0backed QUAZAR | 32c | 60$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…934fbacked HOTU | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 324 | 63%204 W · 120 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed QUAZAR | 27c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.1 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked QUAZAR | 37c | 54.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 46%74 W · 87 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HOTU | 70c | 52.17$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.59 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed QUAZAR | 37c | 52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked QUAZAR | 34c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5a4…4bc1backed HOTU | 63c | 26.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked HOTU | 69c | 24.58$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.65 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed HOTU | 64c | 18.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8e…8e0dbacked HOTU | 65c | 16.13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 503 | 58.6%295 W · 208 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 PlayoffsHOTU won
- Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs HOTU - Map 1 WinnerHOTU won
- Map Handicap: HOTU (-1.5) vs QUAZAR (+1.5)HOTU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.