MLB · resolved market
Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x40055a39a314b1ab4a1eab984edde10d6b5b1b0a0f32b6a112feb8a6386f95a0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tampa Bay Raysof Seattle Mariners, Tampa Bay Rays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $114,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 239 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 17,894$8,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,947.16 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 15,554$7,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Seattle Mariners | 41c | 8,188$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.44 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Seattle Mariners | 41c | 8,018$3,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,283.92 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 5,657$3,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.35 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 5,279$2,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,797.94 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Seattle Mariners | 19c | 4,426$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.3 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 4c | 3,616$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.6 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 149 | 38.3%57 W · 92 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa7a4…e371backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 2,784$1,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.12 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 2,518$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 78c | 2,169$1,694 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.02 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Seattle Mariners | 1c | 2,100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 2,093$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.85 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8201…8a41backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 1,830$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.06 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,650$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Tampa Bay Rays | 61c | 1,500$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.51 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 1,477$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.75 | 950 | 45.2%429 W · 521 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays | 67c | 1,368$919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.63 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,248$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.52 | 556 | 53.4%297 W · 259 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 1,243$634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.29 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,200$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 1,023$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.21 | 718 | 50.1%360 W · 358 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.39 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 980.02$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.21 | 297 | 52.5%156 W · 141 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 821$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.09 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 795.16$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.75 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Seattle Mariners | 59c | 778.59$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.37 | 114 | 46.5%53 W · 61 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 769.23$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.23 | 383 | 53.5%205 W · 178 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Seattle Mariners | 28c | 682.23$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.44 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 657$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.71 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 653$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.97 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 624$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 73c | 607.92$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.18 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 585$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.5 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Seattle Mariners | 37c | 560$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.2 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Tampa Bay Rays | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84a3…44dcbacked Seattle Mariners | 60c | 495$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 55c | 467.49$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.49 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Tampa Bay Rays | 70c | 451.12$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 405.05$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.77 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…7e9abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ace…c46ebacked Seattle Mariners | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 356$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.44 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27bd…5452backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 350.72$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Tampa Bay Rays | 49c | 334.07$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.38 | 1,137 | 42.6%484 W · 653 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d98…fe98backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 316.8$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 315.75$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.84 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 306.12$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 940 | 34.3%322 W · 618 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Tampa Bay Rays | 57c | 297.16$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 53c | 293.69$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.5 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Tampa Bay Rays | 64c | 291$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.76 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Seattle Mariners | 53c | 289.58$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.48 | 121 | 43.8%53 W · 68 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 58c | 286$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.96 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Seattle Mariners | 73c | 270$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.53 | 946 | 55.3%523 W · 423 L | +31.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2de9…5289backed Seattle Mariners | 27c | 261.04$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.09 | 549 | 45.4%249 W · 300 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Seattle Mariners | 48c | 252.54$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.22 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Tampa Bay Rays | 72c | 243$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.04 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dea…5e23backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 233.54$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.43 | 425 | 50.1%213 W · 212 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce8…4dd6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5a…aa7abacked Seattle Mariners | 50c | 222.61$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.77 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc830…4d75backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 221.58$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.26 | 152 | 41.4%63 W · 89 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Tampa Bay Rays | 77c | 219.1$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.39 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 209$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.29 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e2…0f82backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 205.88$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.88 | 137 | 43.8%60 W · 77 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Seattle Mariners | 31c | 204.89$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.75 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9be…08bebacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a21…4aa9backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 52.8%76 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…f09bbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x93a0…6623backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 398 | 46.5%185 W · 213 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87c7…d1b6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 204 | 55.4%113 W · 91 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 197.39$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.47 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 196.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 979 | 44.4%435 W · 544 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 47c | 193.39$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 370 | 32.7%121 W · 249 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd335…fe54backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…3d9bbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 188.47$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.35 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 51c | 188.01$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.12 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17be…e5b4backed Seattle Mariners | 42c | 186.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.69 | 446 | 51.6%230 W · 216 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Seattle Mariners | 34c | 168.45$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.01 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae8…63e6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 22c | 166.1$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.56 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.48per pick | 22cpaid | +242.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed Seattle Mariners | 52c | 160.38$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.4 | 375 | 46.9%176 W · 199 L | -8.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd7…1c4fbacked Seattle Mariners | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 58.8%47 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd72d…0dbbbacked Seattle Mariners | 49c | 153.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa422…d210backed Seattle Mariners | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18aa…2287backed Tampa Bay Rays | 68c | 147.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 138.57$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Seattle Mariners | 43c | 132.4$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.46 | 121 | 38%46 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Tampa Bay Rays | 76c | 129.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.18 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 129$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.34 | 920 | 46%423 W · 497 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 127.42$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 52c | 121.65$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 71c | 120.77$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Tampa Bay Rays | 59c | 111.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 1,056 | 44.3%468 W · 588 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Tampa Bay Rays | 65c | 107.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.9 | 349 | 52.7%184 W · 165 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Tampa Bay Rays | 62c | 106$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.22 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Raysthis page
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 5.5Over won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 7.5Under won
- Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Tampa Bay Rays won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Tampa Bay RaysNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.