WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbac7ffafd367abe9b873106ccc783990a2b856c486029b9ea57816b8a97faeb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,737
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed New York Liberty | 63c | 3,033$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 2,422$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,066.38 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0834…b743backed Chicago Sky | 44c | 2,249$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,268.73 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 44c | 2,249$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.1 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 2,144$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.41 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 2,003$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.25 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Liberty | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 39c | 1,851$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,128.91 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x920b…5d59backed New York Liberty | 53c | 1,272$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 748.73$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.85 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 701$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.29 | 552 | 55.1%304 W · 248 L | +25.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27ee…b517backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 303 | 47.2%143 W · 160 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Chicago Sky | 34c | 307.09$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.65 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…4f6dbacked New York Liberty | 53c | 296.36$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.07 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked New York Liberty | 46c | 290.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 851 | 58.4%497 W · 354 L | +70.2wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb1…6c8fbacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 236.21$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.18per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked New York Liberty | 17c | 199.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Chicago Sky | 56c | 188.2$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.02 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x45b5…2d74backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 171.67$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.67 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Chicago Sky | 58c | 167$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked Chicago Sky | 50c | 159.92$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.96 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc392…595dbacked New York Liberty | 65c | 154.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…aa54backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 121.11$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.29 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eea…f37cbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 112.9$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7df…7f82backed New York Liberty | 61c | 111.36$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Chicago Sky | 31c | 105.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.62 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa77e…6fadbacked New York Liberty | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a70…76b5backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…5273backed Chicago Sky | 61c | 94.49$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.85 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed New York Liberty | 53c | 93.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -4.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Chicago Sky | 60c | 93.48$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.49 | 106 | 57.5%61 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed New York Liberty | 51c | 91.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c9…bc74backed New York Liberty | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 126 | 51.6%65 W · 61 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 48c | 57.55$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 40c | 52.07$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 39.36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed New York Liberty | 37c | 33.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.34 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky | 35c | 32.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.1 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46b1…428cbacked Chicago Sky | 51c | 31.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0414…650abacked New York Liberty | 61c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Chicago Sky | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.