WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0130c758ed1de52334c9183f91f7b2db08c22a3e2ff9f4be509a228537623785
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,734
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,734 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 57,508$27,601 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,907 | 796 | 48.7%388 W · 408 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…8973backed New York Liberty | 52c | 27,715$14,412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,411.8 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 10,385$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e71…e570backed New York Liberty | 52c | 8,497$4,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,418.44 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed New York Liberty | 52c | 4,916$2,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,556.09 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 2,508$1,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d4…4e1dbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 90 | 47.8%43 W · 47 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 120 | 57.5%69 W · 51 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c0…24eebacked New York Liberty | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 420$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 932 | 48.8%455 W · 477 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 53c | 350$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.5 | 859 | 48.4%416 W · 443 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 273$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.96 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty | 56c | 269.24$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Chicago Sky | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 110 | 24.5%27 W · 83 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -46%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Chicago Sky | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 402 | 47.3%190 W · 212 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Chicago Sky | 49c | 177.97$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.97 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 45c | 107$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.15 | 1,012 | 47.9%485 W · 527 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 103.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.08 | 131 | 47.3%62 W · 69 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed New York Liberty | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8537…b98bbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed New York Liberty | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Chicago Sky | 44c | 53.22$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.69 | 1,787 | 51.7%924 W · 863 L | +54.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed New York Liberty | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed New York Liberty | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Chicago Sky | 47c | 47.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.37 | 332 | 48.8%162 W · 170 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Chicago Sky | 48c | 39.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…b60ebacked New York Liberty | 53c | 35.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc2…97c4backed New York Liberty | 52c | 34.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.73 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca2…03cfbacked Chicago Sky | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Chicago Sky | 56c | 26.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 97 | 43.3%42 W · 55 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 627 | 46.9%294 W · 333 L | -19.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked New York Liberty | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Chicago Sky | 48c | 22.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2638…8e2dbacked New York Liberty | 51c | 20.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.