WNBA · resolved market
Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2eb86eead1897caaaf2ee1e815cd55349038d1d8b8d783b5d2c3c86934d60472
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Chicago Skyof New York Liberty, Chicago Sky
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,429
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,848
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,429 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 59,777$31,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,257.26 | 785 | 48.8%383 W · 402 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb84…5fb5backed New York Liberty | 47c | 13,897$6,532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,531.59 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed New York Liberty | 47c | 10,419$4,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,897 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 8,750$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8228…b2fbbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 6,702$3,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,150 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed New York Liberty | 46c | 5,555$2,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,553.51 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3056…4fefbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 4,889$2,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,297.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…cff4backed New York Liberty | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed New York Liberty | 47c | 3,914$1,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,839.58 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.31per pick | 45cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Chicago Sky | 54c | 3,056$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,405.76 | 509 | 52.5%267 W · 242 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 2,716$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.15 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked New York Liberty | 48c | 2,512$1,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,211.5 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Chicago Sky | 55c | 1,726$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$779.11 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed New York Liberty | 47c | 1,005$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 871$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.37 | 243 | 47.7%116 W · 127 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…01b4backed New York Liberty | 47c | 812.53$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 47cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed New York Liberty | 47c | 765.96$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Chicago Sky | 51c | 626.34$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.23 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed New York Liberty | 48c | 505.1$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.45 | 837 | 48.1%403 W · 434 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789f…3e7dbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 459.29$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Chicago Sky | 52c | 420$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 922 | 48.8%450 W · 472 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd37…e117backed New York Liberty | 48c | 243.77$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.01 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +8.1wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed New York Liberty | 47c | 210.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed New York Liberty | 10c | 182.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 122 | 16.4%20 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Chicago Sky | 75c | 147.39$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.55 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 141$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.27 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Chicago Sky | 74c | 128.43$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.68 | 196 | 46.9%92 W · 104 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Chicago Sky | 59c | 119$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.79 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed New York Liberty | 47c | 114.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 327 | 43.7%143 W · 184 L | -23.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed New York Liberty | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 41c | 92.85$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Chicago Sky | 77c | 81.71$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.68 | 347 | 53.9%187 W · 160 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed New York Liberty | 37c | 76.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 749 | 42.3%317 W · 432 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked New York Liberty | 48c | 73.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.14 | 188 | 44.1%83 W · 105 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x156e…cf6fbacked Chicago Sky | 68c | 72.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Chicago Sky | 62c | 72$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.14 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Chicago Sky | 62c | 63$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 306 | 49%150 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed New York Liberty | 29c | 59.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 349 | 18.3%64 W · 285 L | -49.5wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Chicago Sky | 53c | 57.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.26 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked New York Liberty | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 284 | 47.9%136 W · 148 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Chicago Sky | 62c | 47.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 187 | 46%86 W · 101 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Chicago Sky | 50c | 46.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -6.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5777…f1a7backed New York Liberty | 47c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Chicago Sky | 80c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4787…db20backed Chicago Sky | 60c | 33.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 37 | 70.3%26 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Chicago Sky | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Chicago Sky | 54c | 27.22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed New York Liberty | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed New York Liberty | 49c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 712 | 45.4%323 W · 389 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)this page
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago SkyNew York Liberty won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 167.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 168.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 169.5Over won
- New York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 170.5Over won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-7.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-8.5)Chicago Sky won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)Chicago Sky won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.