MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4ac9184a98fb05bf2eb00c5151ab53eb671e8772593e3f30bf224e4801d55b52
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pittsburgh Piratesof Milwaukee Brewers, Pittsburgh Pirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,635
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,621
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,635 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 53c | 18,562$9,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,749.94 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 17,263$5,742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,741.55 | 455 | 50.3%229 W · 226 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,799.95 | 163 | 47.9%78 W · 85 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 9,069$5,823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,245.7 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 7,801$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574.29 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 2,615$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.58 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 2,040$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.14 | 410 | 51.7%212 W · 198 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 2,035$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.42 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 1,965$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.29 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe88…67a8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 1,513$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.39 | 970 | 50.7%492 W · 478 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 908.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.65 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 901.73$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.66 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 757$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.81 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 623.81$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.67 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +74.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 62c | 592.33$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.08 | 614 | 50.8%312 W · 302 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 510$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.8 | 450 | 45.8%206 W · 244 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 496.79$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.57 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 36c | 332.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.01 | 826 | 36.6%302 W · 524 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 303$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff19…3ebebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 295.97$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.67 | 404 | 47.8%193 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0af1…1901backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 63c | 286.19$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.89 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 13c | 231$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b68…08bbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 221$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.77 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 191$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.85 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 11c | 189$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 40c | 187.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.62 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5a…9d75backed Milwaukee Brewers | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 105 | 15.2%16 W · 89 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 151.51$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 136.46$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 674 | 53%357 W · 317 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca3…9613backed Milwaukee Brewers | 65c | 133.06$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 228 | 67.1%153 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f36…905fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 112$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed2…0ddabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 102.32$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.81 | 577 | 47.7%275 W · 302 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 102.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.39 | 587 | 46%270 W · 317 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 65c | 95.29$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.35 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37bd…ed2abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 90$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.68 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 89.77$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Milwaukee Brewers | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 82.03$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14a…62bebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 151 | 45.7%69 W · 82 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7aa…abe3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8526…72aabacked Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 71.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 380 | 53.2%202 W · 178 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4159…beedbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 71.46$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.69 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 195 | 40%78 W · 117 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 62.66$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0098…71e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 62.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 49.32$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 370 | 48.9%181 W · 189 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 33c | 46.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.23 | 147 | 50.3%74 W · 73 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5a9…3a77backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 42.82$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0645…c08ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 59c | 42.57$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.32 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 67c | 41.07$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…35d4backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 38.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 528 | 52.1%275 W · 253 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75eb…ce0bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 35.83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 873 | 70.1%612 W · 261 L | +91.6wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 34.71$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.88 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 36c | 32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Milwaukee Brewers | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1,053 | 47.3%498 W · 555 L | -14.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1164backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 61c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 392 | 50.3%197 W · 195 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 68c | 29.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad1…de9bbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 60c | 22.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Pittsburgh Pirates | 71c | 19.81$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.81 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec8…4bedbacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 66c | 17.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x237f…e76ebacked Pittsburgh Pirates | 64c | 17.23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 172 | 55.8%96 W · 76 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh PiratesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.