MLB · resolved market
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad9f34e40df9963db08acc5fe8db7c56b9c5131c8287f5736f77528d60f0239b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $313,035
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $313,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $313,035 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x547f…2937backed Under | 67c | 304,256$204,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99,821.79 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Over | 32c | 235,659$75,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,364.76 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 35c | 33,879$11,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,782.54 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 38c | 25,719$9,784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,783.65 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 38c | 9,229$3,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,517.07 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Under | 54c | 1,623$871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.17 | 107 | 47.7%51 W · 56 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Over | 38c | 1,572$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597.36 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 44c | 1,039$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.9 | 1,269 | 51.1%648 W · 621 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 44c | 1,039$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.79 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc365…2e53backed Over | 24c | 1,022$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.86 | 1,607 | 53.2%855 W · 752 L | +74.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 49c | 1,016$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.59 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 49c | 766$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Under | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 912 | 52.4%478 W · 434 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…9634backed Over | 37c | 365.79$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 119 | 56.3%67 W · 52 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 42c | 304.7$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.93 | 295 | 49.8%147 W · 148 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e43…0306backed Over | 30c | 278.02$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.67 | 234 | 35%82 W · 152 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc39a…69b1backed Under | 71c | 243.72$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked Over | 36c | 218.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.5 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae34…3a8abacked Under | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 356 | 68.8%245 W · 111 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab72…eae9backed Under | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.09 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a3…5b70backed Over | 45c | 157.01$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.98 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 53c | 152$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1,796 | 43.8%786 W · 1,010 L | -33.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Under | 44c | 145.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 231 | 40.3%93 W · 138 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Over | 38c | 116.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 904 | 46.9%424 W · 480 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bbd…9dcebacked Over | 22c | 111.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 44c | 103.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 44c | 103.91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 586 | 49.5%290 W · 296 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ee…e425backed Over | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 219 | 44.7%98 W · 121 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Under | 46c | 65.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 267 | 53.9%144 W · 123 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed Under | 68c | 65.26$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21eb…f4ddbacked Under | 69c | 64.83$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.1 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 35c | 54.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 509 | 54%275 W · 234 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Over | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 102 | 53.9%55 W · 47 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Over | 50c | 51.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ee…373ebacked Over | 39c | 51.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 254 | 52.8%134 W · 120 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 267 | 47.9%128 W · 139 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…43eabacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Under | 78c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1bef…5f5dbacked Over | 33c | 33.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Under | 44c | 26.73$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.97 | 405 | 54.8%222 W · 183 L | +17.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Under | 80c | 23.69$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42fe…b1d0backed Under | 74c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- 1st 5 Innings Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Los Angeles Dodgers won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersColorado Rockies won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 6.5Over won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)Colorado Rockies won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.